Nick Diaz Valuable Dog as Betting Odds Favor Silva in UFC 183

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, December 11, 2014 3:55 PM UTC

Thursday, Dec. 11, 2014 3:55 PM UTC

The legendary Anderson Silva will return from the trainer’s table and into the Octagon when he squares up against UFC veteran Nick Diaz in a title elimination bout. But what do the UFC odds say about this clash?

Anderson Silva (33-6, 20 KO’s, 6 Subs)
The Spider traversed the UFC landscape for close to seven years dispatching all challengers to his throne before he was upset by a younger rival named Chris Weidman. Silva was a 3-1 betting favorite in UFC odds in their first match and in the rematch came in at a more palatable -160 if you favored the former champ in your UFC picks. For the record, and on the record, I advised a play on Weidman in both bouts and those who tailed were handsomely rewarded in their UFC picks.

Even if you are only a casual fan of the UFC you know doubt have a grimacing recollection of the “Theismanesque” bone break Silva sustained in the opening round of his rematch with Weidman. Silva has had to battle not only the physical toll of the injury but more importantly the mental trauma associated with such a devastating and haunting memory. It is no small task to ask a fighter whose fundamentals are rooted in Muay Thai to continue to wield those lethal bone on bone kicks as if nothing happened. Silva will have to conquer not only the ring rust that gathers over the course of a year but also the emotional hurdle of delivering those blows without a trace of hesitation.


Nick Diaz (26-9, 13 KO’s, 8 Subs)
In the interest of full disclosure I am not a fan of Nick Diaz or his little brother Nate. But before you Diaz fans get all up in my grill, understand that my personal disdain for their “Stockton Swag” does not mean I don’t respect their fighting abilities. These are two tough and supremely talented hombres but their demeanor falls short of what one expects from world class fighters. Nick Diaz has dropped his last two fights and summarily retired after both losses. Not exactly what I would categorize as graceful in defeat. But the elder Diaz is back in the UFC fold and this test against an aging legend could punch his ticket into a middleweight title fight.

Diaz is venturing into uncharted waters at 185 pounds. The perennial welterweight has fought at catch-weights of 179 and 180 pounds in his Strikeforce days (both fights ended victoriously for Diaz) but stacked against a legend like Anderson Silva; the additional weight could be fatal. In addition, Diaz will be facing a fighter with both a two-inch height and reach advantage. Anderson Silva will prove a fearsome test and all those wagering on this fight need to be aware this match could go either way…in a hurry.


UFC Odds
Despite Silva’s advanced age and his consecutive defeats to champion Chris Weidman the public loves the Spider. The UFC odds makers have calibrated all this affection and will make those chalk eating Silva fans pay for their loyalty. Anderson Silva is currently being offered in UFC odds as low as -380 at 5Dimes and as high as -500 at Ladbrokes. The return on the underdog Diaz is anywhere from +315 to +333.

Diaz will be in remarkable shape because he has never entered the Octagon in any other way. Even at 185 pounds his cardio will propel him throughout the five-round match and Silva will need to be cognizant that Nick Diaz doesn’t go away. That being said, Diaz has been guilty of attacking the same way without making adjustments as the fight unfolds.

Nevertheless, I see the 31-year-old Nick Diaz as a live dog who could wear out the aging superstar and come away with a TKO. Include Nick Diaz in your UFC picks for this hotly anticipated battle on Saturday January 31st, 2015.

Free UFC Pick: Nick Diaz +315 at 5Dimes

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