Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace Premier League Picks

Lee Phelps

Tuesday, August 26, 2014 5:45 AM UTC

Tuesday, Aug. 26, 2014 5:45 AM UTC

First things first, I have nothing against Crystal Palace, but backing Newcastle at soccer betting odds of 4/5 looks like a good Premier League bet to me! 

I have opposed Crystal Palace consistently since the first pre-season previews, even before Tony Pulis left. I did that because they haven’t strengthened sufficiently up front and now they have defensive problems. Scott Dann was missing last week and you could tell. They lost 3-1 to West Ham and looked short of quality and drive. Joe Ledley has been struggling with a knock this week and it is starting to look worrying for a squad that isn’t the biggest.

Newcastle drew a second blank in front of goal at Aston Villa on Saturday, in a game that was all too easy to predict. Alan Pardew’s reign at St James’ Park would have started to look even more precarious had they lost there. The record still isn’t great in 2014, with 14 defeats in 21 games, but the more optimistic will point to a host of new interesting signings. I think Siem de Jong will be one of this season’s success stories and could be playing for a top six side this time next season. His goals record is Frank Lampard-like in the Eredivisie and although not many players replicate their scoring exploits in the Netherlands once they move to England, I think his style suits the Premier League perfectly. He’s lacking match fitness having picked up an injury in pre-season, but still had a one-on-one with the keeper at Villa Park, that he would normally have slotted away.

Daryl Janmaat is another Dutchman who I like and I think this is the kind of game where he can prosper. His ability to get forward and go past players may undo weaker defences. He had the best stats for beating opposition players last Saturday against Aston Villa and managed to top the chart of shots on goal too from right back. Remy Cabella looks a handful and completed the most successful passes in the attacking third of any Newcastle player in his second game for the club, as well as creating the most chances in the game. Add to all that Hatem Ben Arfar’s successful return to the reserve league, with a commanding performance, you wonder if Pardew is ready to welcome him back to the fold. You can’t have a player of his quality training with the ‘kids’ when you’re short of goals in the first team. All this makes me think a goal is around the corner in the Premier League and maybe this weakened Palace defence is just what they need.

Whether it’s of chairman Steve Parish’s own making or not, Palace have been unlucky losing their manager on the eve of the season and then having their first choice manager Malky Mackay torn from their grasp just as they were about to appoint him. Add to that second choice Tim Sherwood withdrawing from the race and it’s not been the easiest of fortnights at Selhurst Park. Whether they appoint someone or not after this is published and before the match kicks-off, I really don’t think it affects the result.

They have got some firepower up front in the shape of Marouane Chamakh, who topped the stats for shots on target, successful passes in the final third and of course scored their consolation goal.


Soccer Betting Verdict
I’m expecting Newcastle to be in the top ten come the end of the season and Palace to be in the Championship, so the home win priced at 4/5 looks a good bet to me. The Toon army saw their side lose nine home games last season, with six of them coming against the top seven sides. They beat all three relegated sides by a single goal, but I’d chance a minus one goal handicap on them if you are looking for a bigger price (11/5). I’m not going to be greedy though and will be backing the home win.

Free Soccer Pick: Newcastle to win at Bet365

comment here