Newcastle vs. Arsenal Premier League Odds Analysis & Soccer Picks

Richard Prew

Friday, August 28, 2015 1:46 PM GMT

Let's examine Saturday's clash between Newcastle & Arsenal. Don’t make a move on this game without reading our revealing betting preview article which offers a valuable soccer pick.

Newcastle vs. Arsenal
Newcastle under Steve McLaren are showing signs of potential after the disappointments of last season where they finished near the Relegation zone. There are plenty of new signings of which Wijnaldum looks exciting and Mitrovic potentially a consistent goal-scorer. Whilst they are a team in transition and a work in progress the defensive organisation they showed at Old Trafford when coming away with a draw spoke to the possibility that the process of becoming a top half side might not take too long.

Of course hosting Arsenal will see them installed as underdogs on the Premier League odds board. Before the season started Arsenal were widely expected to be challenging Chelsea for the title and were backed in from 8/1 to 9/2 over the off-season. Whilst it is early days it is fair to say that a return of one win in their first three games, including winning neither of their two home games, is an initial disappointment.
Encouragingly against Liverpool on Monday night goalkeeper Petr Cech began to show the sort of form that had him hailed as one of the signings of the summer. When Arsenal bought Cech for £10m from Chelsea in June, the instant wisdom was that his presence alone could be worth an extra 10 points to the Gunners. Time will tell, but this was the night when the 33-year-old showed just how important a signing he could be as the side finally looks to mount a serious Premier League title challenge. Cech was castigated after a poor debut in the home defeat by West Ham, but he was magnificent when Liverpool laid siege to his goal in the first half.

Further up the pitch and "We have started very average I must concede," Wenger said after Monday night’s game "Sharpness is missing a little bit in some players. Our game is still not fluent enough in the final third." Alexis Sanchez for example is a real difference maker for Arsenal and his extended break after the Copa America this summer saw him with little pre-season training

These should only be expected to be temporary problems, I see Arsenal as a top four side and they will click before long. The issue for this weekend at Newcastle is that we are being asked to take a best price of -175 at Bet365 about Newcastle winning in the north east. This looks very short at this stage of the season. Newcastle can be backed at +550 with BetVictor and the draw at +333 with William Hill.

With Arsenal lacking goals (they have failed to score in five of their last six home games for example) and fans clamouring for another striker to be signed and Newcastle stiffening at the back I think this could be closer than the odds suggest. Handicap markets show Newcastle +1 at +145 William Hill. That could be a way of getting with the home side without requiring them to win outright.

Soccer Pick: Newcastle +1 Goals (+145) 

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