Newcastle United vs. West Ham United: Odds, Preview, Prediction & Picks

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, May 20, 2015 1:23 AM GMT

Is taking Newcastle in the three-way marketplace a good soccer pick for Sunday's Premier League match? We are betting on a home win here at St. James’ Park against West Ham United. 

Odds Overview
Newcastle United vs. West Ham United, Sunday 15:00 (NBC Sports Live Extra, (US); 10 a.m. ET/7 a.m. PT): The Geordie Shore will be poppin on Sunday night, but not in the nightclubs, but over at St. James’ Park in Newcastle Upon Tyne, where 17th-place Newcastle United (9-9-19, 38 GF-63 GA, 36 points) will welcome 11th-place West Ham United (12-11-14, 44 GF-45 GA) on Championship Sunday in what could be a huge game for the Home team which sits just 2 points above the Relegation Zone and 18th place. Soccer odds makers have made hosts Newcastle United -142 favorites here with visitors West Ham United +375 underdogs with the Draw priced at +280 (bet365). The Total Goals in this game has been set at 2½ Over -153 (Under +120, bet365) with the Both Teams To Score Prop having the ‘Yes’ priced at -152 and ‘No’ at +125 (William Hill). A couple of Props wagers for this fixture on Sunday: To Win To Nil: Newcastle United +229, West Ham United +900 (William Hill); and, Draw No Bet: Newcastle United -350, West Ham United +250 (bet365).

 

West Ham United FC
West Ham United (3-7-8 Away, 19 GF-27 GA) have been poor on the Road this season and the Hammers have really been in major goal drought of late, so the Under should definitely be worth some consideration here. Injuries to Hammers strikers Andy Carroll (5 goals) early on and star Diafra Sakho (10 goals) last month really affected this team which will see its’ Board meet with Manager Sam Allardyce next week to see if he stays on with the club. Offensively, West Ham looks to MF Stewart Downing (5 goals, +550 Anytime Goalscorer, bet365), Enner Valencia (4 goals, +800), Kevin Nolan (1 goal, +1000), 33-year-old Portuguese midfielder Nene (+1000), Carlton Cole (2 goals, +900), central midfielder Cheikhou Kouyaté (4 goals, +650) and Morgan Amalfitano (3 goals, +850) for scoring and the Hammers are lucky that they have talented GK Adrián, play good enough defense and had a decent First Half or they too might be fighting for their Top Flight English Football Lives on this Championship Sunday themselves. With West Ham having so much trouble scoring goals—especially from Open Play—of late, it’s impossible to recommend backing them here in this spot, especially with the host Magpies having something to play for—pushing themselves away from Relegation—and the Hammers historically poor here at St. James’ Park and equally bad on the Road this season (3 wins in 18 games).

 

Newcastle United FC
Newcastle United (6-5-7 Home, 24 GF-278 GA) and Manager John Carver have heavily relied again this season on Senegalese striker Papiss Cissé (11 goals, Anytime Goalscorer +375, bet365), but with just 38 goals in 37 games, the Toon are even more anemic on Offense than are hosts West Ham United. Besides the mercurial Cissé, Newcastle United relies on Ayoze Pérez (7 goals, +450), Jack Colback (4 goals, +650), Emmanuel Rivière (+500), Adam Armstrong (+400), Yoan Gouffran (+800), Rémy Cabella (+650), Moussa Sissoko (+850) and Sammy Ameobi (+450, Sky Bet) for goals, and this wobbling but historic English Premier League team will need to generate a couple on Sunday in an effort to get a point or three with 18th-place Hull City (34 points) still able to catch the Magpies with a win at Home—and the 3 points—at the KC Stadium over 4th-place Manchester United (Manchester United +110, Hull City +229, Draw +250, bet365) in their last game on sunday. And with Newcastle United GK Tim Krul and a focused Defense, expect the Magpies to effectively be able to limit the number of quality attempts on goal in a game which could possibly be quite boring despite the implications heading in for Toon Army.

 

Series Trends and Best Betting Approaches
Premier League soccer odds makers know that Newcastle United holds the edge over West Ham United in English Premier League play in this series, going 38-25-32 (148 GF-134 GA) against the Hammers, and an impressive 25-17-7 (92 GF-47 GA) here at Home against West Ham in league play. When these two teams met in Week 13 back in the first meeting of the year at Upton Park, West Ham emerged victorious (1-0), while this fixture here at St. James’ Park last year ended in a 0-0 Draw. And that has sort of been the big theme and statistical recent relevant trend when these two have met lately in this series—very few goals. The Under is 4-1 L5 in this series with just 6 goals being scored in those 5 games (1.20 gpg) with two 0-0 scorelines and one game—last year’s meeting at West Ham—accounting for 4 of those 6 goals. Toss in the fact that the Hammers haven’t scored since Coca-Cola changed its formula, and taking the Under and the Favorite and Relegation Fear-driven hosts with your soccer picks seem like the prudent plays here, with a couple big scorers injured and out and the last game of the season meaning both of these clubs could be completely worn down in Week 38. And rightfully so.

Predicted Final Score: Newcastle United 2 West Ham 0

English Premier League Picks: Newcastle United -142, Under 2½ +120 (bet365)

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