Newcastle United vs. Manchester United: EPL Week 28 Soccer Picks, Predictions & Props

Kevin Stott

Monday, March 2, 2015 8:43 PM UTC

Monday, Mar. 2, 2015 8:43 PM UTC

Are the underdogs in Wednesday's Premier League soccer odds worth a look as Manchester United heads to St. James’ Park to face Newcastle United in this Week 28 EPL fixture?

Newcastle United vs. Manchester United Betting Odds Overview
Wednesday 19:45 (NBC Sports Live Extra, Westwood One Sports, Mun2 (USA), BT Sport 1 (UK); 2:45 p.m. ET/11:45 a.m. PT): St. James’ Park and Newcastle-upon-Tyne is the site of this Week 28 English Premier League fixture on Wednesday between visiting and fourth-place Manchester United (14-8-5, 46 GF-26 GA) and host and 11th-place Newcastle United (9-8-10, 32 GF-42 GA) in a game between one team fighting for a UEFA Champions League spot and the other Just Chillin’ Like a Villain On Penicillin with 35 points—equidistant from Liverpool (48 points) and UEFA Europa League-range in 5th place and Burnley and Aston Villa in 18th and 19th in the dreaded Relegation Zone with 22 points. So, The Toon can play Hard and Loose from now until Week 38 on May 24. Buckle up, Buttercup.

Soccer Odds makers have made the host Red Devils expected +100 favorites with host Newcastle United getting a healthy +320 as the underdog on the take-back with the Draw priced at +250 (bet365) in the extremely popular Three-Way (Winner) marketplace. The Total Goals in this match is set at 2½ with Under at -133 and the Over priced at +105 (bet365). The Both Teams To Score odds here have the Yes priced at -137 with the No set at +100 (Sky Bet).

Two random proposition wagers for this game: To Win To Nil: Manchester United +225, Newcastle United +500 (Ladbrokes); and, Correct Score: Manchester United 2-0 +850, Manchester United 2-1 +850 (bet365).

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Manchester United FC
Manchester United (3-7-3 Away, 16 GF-16 GA) is dead even in all stats Away from home headed into this match and the Red Devils and Manager Louis Van Gaal really need to start winning Road games like this to hold off the likes of Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur who are all sure to challenge for those last 3rd- and 4th-place UEFA Champions League qualifying spots. With star striker Robin van Persie (10 goals) out with an ankle injury, teammates Wayne Rooney (10 goals, Anytime Goalscorer +137, bet365), Radamel Falcao (4 goals, +137), James Wilson (+150), midfielder Ángel Di María (3 goals, +175), Juan Mata (5 goals, +240), Marouane Fellaini (3 goals, +240), Chris Smalling (3 goals, +900), Ander Herrera (3 goals, +300) and the oft-overlooked Ashley Young (+500) will look to score here mid-week against upstart Newcastle United. As much rumbling as there has been in the media, as weak as new signees Di María and Falcao have been—and even RvP for that matter sometimes—and as poorly as the Red Devils have played on the Road this season, it’s surprising that they are still actually in fourth place. But in many ways that’s a testament to this Manchester United side and Saturday’s 2-0 win over a gritty Sunderland side—in which Rooney had a double—at Old Trafford seemed to leave this team with some much-needed confidence headed into this tilt on the Geordie Shore.

With guys like Wilson, Herrera, Fellaini and Antonio Valencia (+600), the Red Devils should sooner or later start feeling good about playing football with each other although the inconsistent starting XIs and choppy tactical formations thrown out there by van Gaal have certainly hindered this team’s progress some. But the way that first-place Chelsea has played so far this season, Manchester United still probably wouldn’t have had a shot at the Premier League title with another first-year manager being plugged in at Red Mancunia trying to replace the legendary Sir Alex Ferguson going up against José Mourinho in one of his storied second years managing new clubs. Maybe next year.


Newcastle United FC
Newcastle United (6-4-3 Home, 19 GF-17 GA) is again this season seemingly all Senegalese striker Papiss Cissé (11 goals, Anytime Goalscorer +240, Sky Bet), and, as discussed, sitting in 11th place on 32 points and knowing that the Magpies will more than  likely be staying up in the Premier League for the 2015/2016 season in large part because of Cissé’s offensive brilliance means that this team owes this man a lot more than money. Besides Cissé here, Newcastle United will look for Ayoze Pérez (5 goals; +250), Emmanuel Rivière (+350), Adam Armstrong (+350), Yoan Gouffran (2 goals, +450), Rémy Cabella (+450), Moussa Sissoko (2 goals, +450), Sammy Ameobi (2 goals, +500) and Mehdi Abeid (+600) for a goal or two against one of the league’s top keepers, Manchester United’s David De Gea.

On Sunday, the Geordies received a pretty nice performance from their goalkeeper Tim Krul in a 1-0 win over struggling Aston Villa as you know who—Cissé—had the game’s only score here at St. James’ Park as Newcastle’s new manager John Carver notched his first Home win and the Magpies handed the Claret and Blue their 7th straight setback and dropped Aston Villa into that dreaded Relegation Zone. With nothing to lose, Cissé and Krul in goal, Toon should give Manchester United all they can handle here and will be the liveliest of lively +320 Home Underdogs here on Wednesday. Place your Soccer Picks accordingly.


Best Betting Approaches and Trends
Manchester United is 67-36-34 lifetime (264 GF-204 GA) in English Premier League play against Newcastle United but just 26-11-26 (111 GF-127 GA) here at St. James’ against the Magpies. When these two played in Week 18 at Old Trafford, the Red Devils rolled to a 3-1 victory while in this fixture last season at the Geordie Shore, Manchester United won even bigger, notching a 4-0 clean sheet under then-manager David Moyes. So, the Red Devils have outscored Newcastle United, 7-1 in those L2 meetings. With both clubs coming off shutouts this weekend and this game at underdog Newcastle’s crib, look for scoring chances to be somewhat few and far between, despite last year’s scoreline making the Under 2½ potentially a pretty good play in Premier League soccer odds. And, expect Rooney to maybe be the hero again here at St. James’ as when players get in grooves, they get in grooves and his brace on Saturday against the Black Cats gave him a big dose of much-needed confidence. Perhaps LvG won’t experiment with him at a Central Midfield spot anymore. One never knows with Mad Dutchmen and Their Little Red Notebooks.

PREDICTED FINAL: Newcastle United 0 Manchester United 1 at William Hill

EPL SOCCER PICKS: Under 2½ -133, Manchester United +100 (bet365)

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