New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC: Odds, Prediction & Picks

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, July 28, 2015 12:42 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 28, 2015 12:42 PM UTC

Let’s look at the trends and how the New England Revolution & Toronto FC have been playing lately and then offer up a couple of betting picks because that’s what we do.

Odds Overview
Toronto FC at New England Revolution, [Sunday 00:30] (MLS Live, CSN-NE, Sportsnet 360 (USA): 7:30 p.m. ET/4:30 p.m. PT): This Week 24 MLS sees the Eastern Conference’s 4th-place team, Toronto FC (8-4-7, 31 GF-31 GA) facing the 5th-place New England Revolution (7-7-9, 29 GF-35 GA) on Saturday night at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Soccer odds makers have made the host Revolution +100 favorites here over visiting TFC (+250) with the Draw priced at +225 (bet365). The Total Goals in this weekend fixture from one of America’s original 13 colonies has been set at 2½, with the Over at -121 and the Under priced at +103 (bet365). Some Props wagers for this fixture: Both Teams To Score: ‘Yes’ -162, ‘No’ +120 (Sky Bet); To Win To Nil: NE Revolution +300, Toronto FC +500 (bet365); and, Draw No Bet: NE Revolution -200, Toronto FC +150 (bet365)


Toronto FC
Toronto FC (4-3-5 Away, 21 GF-24 GA) rallied from a 3-0 deficit in Week 22 play on Saturday night at Columbus to earn a 3-3 Draw with the Crew and a much-deserved point. TFC (16/1 to Win MLS Cup: Toronto FC, BetVictor) tied the game in the 89th minute on a controversial Jozy Altidore PK after superstar Sebastian Giovinco (13 goals) got TFC on the board to start the rally. Keep your eye on this team, as not only does it have the electric and prolific Giovinco, but Toronto (19 games, 28 points) and Head Coach Greg Vanney haves played the second-least number of games (Montreal Impact, 18) in the MLS, and by contrast, TFC’s opponents here, New England has the same number of points (28) as does Toronto, but has played 4 more games (23). Giovinco has been on fire of late, and has to be the favorite to win the league MVP this season.  Americans Jozy Altidore (7 goals) and Michael Bradley (2 goals) have also helped out as well as Marco Delgado (2 goals), Warren Creavalle (1 goal), Luke Moore (1 goal), Benoit Cheyrou (1 goal), Jackson (1 goal), Justin Morrow (1 goal) and Robbie Findley (1 goal). In goal, Chris Konopka has been shaky for scrappy TFC but the way the attack has been clicking over the L15 games through the dynamic Giovinco, Toronto has stayed in the conference hunt and all of that scoring is a good thing for Over bettors.


New England Revolution
In Week 23 action, the New England Revolution (5-5-1 at Home, 16 GF-8 GA) also earned a Draw, tying with the Chicago Fire 2-2 in Chicagoland. And the Draw is good news for the Revs, who now have a Win and a Draw after L5 straight and looking hopeless. And Defense has been a big part of the problem for New England and Head Coach Jay Heaps with the team and GK Bobby Shuttleworth and All-Star D Chris Tierney (1 goal) still having allowed the highest number of goals in the conference (35). On the attack, the Revolution (12/1 to win MLS Cup, BetVictor) are led by striker Charlie Davies (7 goals), Juan Agudelo (4 goals), Teal Bunbury (4 goals), Kelyn Rowe (3 goals), Lee Nguyen (3 goals), Scott Caldwell (2 goals), Diego Fagundez (2 goals), Andy Dorman (1 goal) and London Woodberry and lately the Revolution Offense has picked it up some after going through a dry spell in late June and early July. One very good thing here for New England and powerful thing for bettors is how good the Revolution are at Home—1 Loss, 8 Goals allowed as we hit the All-Star Game on Wednesday—but Toronto has shown in can win on the Road (4 wins) and with Giovinco playing so well, this somewhat under-the-radar team is a threat to win any game wherever they play these days.

Looking for more MLS Action? Click for Colorado Rapids vs. LA Galaxy Soccer Pick

Current Form, Series Trends, Betting Conclusions
The Revolution are 8-8-4 (32 GF-19 GA) lifetime against Toronto FC in MLS play and New England is 6-3-2 here at Home (18 GF-6 GA) in the series. The last time these two met here was this season in Week 3 where the game ended in a 1-1 Draw. New England hasn’t lost to TFC in the L5 meetings and Under is an impressive 6-2 over the L8 meetings (NE 1-1 TOR; NE 1-0 TOR; TOR 0-3 NE; TOR 1-2 NE; TOR 1-1 NE; NE 0-1 TOR; NE 2-0 TOR; NE 0-1 TOR). In their L7 games, the Revolution are 1-1-5, so this won’t be easy and New England and their suspect Defense will have trouble stopping the torrid Giovinco. Despite the recent (and relevant) series Trends backing the Under here, the thought is that both team will get at least a goal (BTTS) and the hosts will find a way to get the needed 3 points and leapfrog TFC in the Eastern Conference standings. The Total (Over 2½) is definitely the stronger of the two soccer picks here and this first fixture for both teams after the All-Star Game could be a very entertaining game.


Predicted Final Score: New England Revolution 2 Toronto FC 1

Major League Soccer Picks:  Over 2½ -121, Revolution Draw No Bet -200 at Bet365

MLS Futures Bets: Toronto FC to win MLS Cup, 16/1 at BetVictor

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