NASCAR Sprint Cup - Odds Favorite, Top Contenders & Longshots To Win Sunday’s Race At Dover

Matt Kenseth

Friday, September 30, 2016 9:42 PM GMT

The third race in this year’s NASCAR’s Sprint Cup Chase to a title heads back to Dover International Speedway for the running of this Sunday’s Citizen Soldier 400. Race time from the Monster Mile is set for 2 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on the NBC Sports Network.

Kevin Harvick became the second Chase driver to punch his ticket to the next round with last Sunday’s thrilling victory at New Hampshire. Matt Kenseth raced his way to a second-place finish and last season’s Sprint Cup Champ Kyle Busch finished third.

The following is a look at my top valued favorite, contender and longshot to win this Sunday’s race at Dover based on today's  betting odds. When it comes to betting on NASCAR be sure to check the top online sportsbooks in the game.

 

Top Valued Favorite


Matt Kenseth was a close second last week and I am going with his +700 betting odds at Bet365 to win this week as a third-favorite on the list of the first two winners in this year’s Chase Kevin Harvick (+500) and Martin Truex Jr. (+700). Kenseth has the No. 20 Toyota in excellent position to advance to the next round; sitting in fourth place in the current Sprint Cup standings. However, the motivation to win remains high for a team that is trying to pull off a rare season sweep at the Monster Mile after winning here back in May. He has now placed seventh or better in five of his last six runs around this track.

 

Top Valued Contender


Another driver that is in good shape to advance to the next round of the Chase is Joey Logano sitting in fifth-place in the current standings. His odds to guarantee the No. 22 Ford a spot with a win on Sunday have been set at +1350 at 5Dimes and I believe there is some solid value in that number. This team ended up 11th last week at New Hampshire after seriously competing for the checkered flag in Chicago with a second-place run. Logano has yet to win a Sprint Cup event at Dover, but he has consistently remained in the mix with a Top 10 finish in seven of his last nine races here.

 

Top Valued Longshot


When picking longshots in the Chase I am usually looking for a driver that still has a chance to keep their title hopes alive with a victory. Given that Kurt Busch is sitting in 11th-place in the standings in what boils down to an elimination race, his +2000 betting odds at Bet365 to win makes him the perfect candidate this week. Four of the 16 Chase drivers will be sent packing after this race and with the No. 41 Chevrolet coming off a fifth-place finish at New Hampshire it could be in perfect shape to stun the field at Dover with a win this week. Busch also finished fifth in the first point race event here this season and his lone victory at this track came in this event in 2011. All of which is key information to have before choosing your NASCAR pick.

 

Betting Odds for other Notable Drivers


Following the three favorites to win this race is a group of five drivers sitting at +850 betting odds at 5Dimes to take the checkered flag. This list includes defending Sprint Cup Champ Kyle Busch, six-time champion Jimmie Johnson, Denny Hamlin, Carl Edwards and Kyle Larson. Joining Logano at +1350 odds at 5Dimes is rookie driver Chase Elliott along with Brad Keselowski, who is actually first in the standings right now with 2087 total points following two Top 5 runs in the Chase.