This Sunday’s Ford EcoBoost 500 at Homestead-Miami Speedway will be a four-way battle for this season’s Sprint Cup title in the final race of the 2014 NASCAR season. The green flag for this winner-take-all championship run is set to wave at 12:15 p.m. (PT) and will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.
Kevin Harvick made his way into the field of four with a victory last Sunday in Phoenix. My value NASCAR pick to win that race was Joey Logano at 10/1 betting odds and he worked his way into the field as well. The other two drivers vying for this year’s Sprint Cup title will be Denny Hamlin and Ryan Newman.
The following is a look at the four drivers in line to win this season’s Sprint Cup title along with their betting odds provided by Bovada.
Kevin Harvick- Sprint Cup Title Odds: 7/5
The Sprint Cup title will go to the driver with the best finish at Homestead, but the best way to assure yourself a championship will be to simply win this race. Harvick has the best odds of the field because of his ability to keep the No. 4 car on the lead lap all season long. This team has taken the checkered flag in four previous point races this season, but the true value in these odds is the fact that this car has led an incredible 2,083 laps this season. Harvick does lose some value in his odds given that he has not finished better than eighth in his last three Sprint Cup races at this track.
Joey Logano- Sprint Cup Title Odds: 5/2
Logano is trying to become one of the youngest drivers to lay claim to a Sprint Cup title in just his sixth full season racing at this level. His 2014 statistics are impressive to say the least with five victories and another 11 top-five finishes. The No. 22 car finished fifth or better in six of the first nine playoff races including victories at New Hampshire and Kansas. In five previous Sprint Cup races at Homestead-Miami, Logano has progressively gotten better with his best finish coming last season when he ended-up eighth.
Denny Hamlin-Sprint Cup Title Odds: 7/2
Hamlin would easily be my top value pick to win the title at these very favorable odds. He went right down to wire at Homestead in the 2010 title race and he is by far the most experienced driver in this four-man field. The one downside is that the No. 11 car has only made its way to the Winner’s Circle once this season and it only has seven top-five finishes to its credit. Hamlin is still the only driver in NASCAR’s final four to post a Sprint Cup victory at this track. He won this race in 2009 and he ended the 2013 season on a high note with a first-place finish at Homestead-Miami.
Ryan Newman-Sprint Cup Title Odds: 5/1
Newman is the least likely driver to make it into this elite field with zero wins on the year and a grand total of just four top-five finishes, but he does have a knack for hanging around in most of the races he runs. That actually might be good enough on Sunday to guide the No. 31 to a Sprint Cup title. Newman’s best finish at Homestead came in 2012 when he ended-up third, but his value takes a serious hit with an average finishing position of just 17.0 at this track.