NASCAR Sprint Cup Betting: Samuel Deeds 400 at the Brickyard

David Schwab

Thursday, July 25, 2013 6:14 PM GMT

Fresh off a two-week break, NASCAR’s Sprint Cup series gears-up for the ‘Race to the Chase’ with a stop at Indianapolis Motor Speedway this week for the running of the Samuel Deeds 400.

Sunday’s race is set to get underway at 1 p.m. ET and it returns to FOX for the national broadcast.

Two weeks ago at New Hampshire, longshot Brian Vickers stunned bettors with an unexpected win. Kyle Busch finished second and Jeff Burton took third. Our top value pick to win this race at 15/1 was Matt Kenseth but the best he could do was finish ninth after starting from the 12th position.

The following is a look at a few of the top favorites for this Sunday’s race along with our top value racing pick based on odds provided by Bovada.

Favorites

It has been a rare week when current Sprint Cup point leader Jimmie Johnson has not been favored to win and this race is no different. He has been opened at 4/1 to take the No.48 car to victory lane for the fifth time this season. The team is at the top of the standings with 696 points as a result of the first four victories along with four additional top-five finishes. Johnson adds even more value to these NASCAR odds by coming into this year’s race at the Brickyard as defending champion. He has won this race four times since 2006.

The second-favorite to win on Sunday is Kyle Busch at 8/1. He obviously came close to winning his last time out. This was his seventh top-five finish of the season to go with two previous victories. The No.18 car is currently in seventh place in the standings with 576 points. Busch is another driver that adds value to his odds through his past performance in this race. Last year he finished one spot behind Johnson in second, which was his third-straight Top 10 finish at this track.

Matt Kenseth has been opened at 9/1 to get back to his winning ways after already taking the checkered flag four times this season. He has the No.20 car in sixth place in the standings with a total of 10 top-ten finishes in the first 19 point races of the year. Kenseth has led 994 laps this year which is more than twice the amount he led in the entire 2012 season. The Brickyard has not been one of his favorite tracks over the years with an average finishing position of 15.8, but he did finish fifth in this race in 2011.

It has a rough couple of months for Kasey Kahne with just one top-10 finish in his last seven Sprint Cup point races, but he has been listed at 10/1 to break out of this slump with a win in this race. The No.5 car is currently holding down the tenth spot in the standings with 523 points and is still in good shape to make the Chase with an earlier victory at Bristol. Kahne has also had his share of troubles at this track in recent years since posting back-to-back seventh-place finishes in 2008 and 2009.

Top Value Pick

Greg Biffle has quietly raced the No.16 car to eighth in the standings this season with 545 points. He already won at Michigan and has six additional top-10 finishes to his credit. He has been opened at 14/1 to make another trip to victory lane and given his past performance at Indianapolis he is our top value pick to get it done. Biffle finished third in last year’s race to extend his streak of top-10 finishes at the Brickyard to five. He also finished third in 2010 and fourth in 2009.

NASCAR Pick: Greg Biffle at 16/1 at Bovada

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