NASCAR Sprint Cup Betting: Pure Michigan 400 at the Speedway

David Schwab

Wednesday, August 14, 2013 12:25 PM GMT

Wednesday, Aug. 14, 2013 12:25 PM GMT

NASCAR Sprint Cup series returns to Michigan International Speedway in Brooklyn for the second time this season for the running of the Pure Michigan 400.

Sunday’s race is set to get underway at 12 p.m. ET and will be broadcast nationally on FOX. 

On the road course at Watkins Glen last Sunday, Kyle Busch took his third checkered flag of the season with the win. Brad Keselowski turned in a strong performance with a second-place finish and Martin Truex Jr. took third. Our value racing pick to win this race at +1500 was Kevin Harvick, but he ended-up a distant 13th after starting 26th. 

The following is a look at a few of the top favorites for this Sunday’s race along with our top value pick based on NASCAR odds provided by Sportsbook.

Favorites

NASCAR returns to an oval track and Jimmie Johnson returns to the top of the board as a +500 favorite to win on Sunday. He has been permanently implanted at the top of the Sprint Cup standings all season long and comes into this race with 808 total points and a 75-point lead over the next closest driver. The No. 48 car has found itself in the winner’s circle four times this season in 22 point races and has only finished outside the top 10 seven times this year. One of those times was in the first race at Michigan when Johnson finished 28th. This followed a 27th-place finish in last year’s race which drains a bit of value from these odds. He has never won a Sprint Cup race at this track.

The second-favorite to win this race at +700 is Kasey Kahne. He has dropped out of the top 10 for this year’s Chase, but remains in solid shape for a wildcard spot with two previous wins this season. The No.5 car is coming off one of those victories two weeks ago at Pocono after finishing third at Indianapolis the week before so current form remains high. Kahne also adds value to these odds with a third-place finish in this race last season.

The first of two +800 third-favorites to win on Sunday is Kyle Busch. Fresh off last week’s win, he is currently in fifth place in the standings with 693 points. Along with the three point race victories, the No.18 car has placed in the top five seven other times this season and has led a total of 1,066 laps. Adding even more value to these odds, Busch finished fourth in the first race at Michigan this season and he took the checkered flag in this race in 2011.

The other driver listed at +800 to win this race is Matt Kenseth. The No. 20 car has been quiet the past few weeks but it is still in solid shape for the Chase in seventh place in the standings with 659 points. This team is tied for the most point race victories this season at four and it has finished in the top 10 in half the events this year. Kenseth posted a respectable sixth-place finish at Michigan earlier in the year and he has finished in the top 10 in five of his last six Sprint Cup races at this track.

Top Value Pick

Dale Earnhardt Jr. has remained in the thick of the race to the Chase all season long and he is currently holding down the sixth spot in the standings with 670 points. After a couple of close calls in five top five finishes this season, we are jumping on his +1000 odds as our top value betting pick this finally break through with a win. The No. 88 car ended a long winless streak with a victory in the first race at this track in 2012 and then went on to finish fourth in this race last year. Junior suffered some engine issues in the first race at Michigan this season to finish a disappointing 37th.

NASCAR Pick: Dale Earnhardt Jr at 9/1 at Bovada

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