NASCAR Sprint Cup Betting Preview: GoBowling 400

David Schwab

Friday, May 6, 2016 1:42 PM UTC

Friday, May. 6, 2016 1:42 PM UTC

NASCAR’s Sprint Cup series returns to prime time with Saturday night’s 400. The 11th Sprint Cup point race event of the year and we offer you a few betting picks on the event. 

There are now four different Sprint Cup drivers with two victories on the year following Brad Keselowski’s win at Talladega this past Sunday. Kyle Busch took over the top spot in the point standings with a second-place finish and Austin Dillon rounded-out the Top 3.

The following is a look at my top valued favorite betting pick, contender and longshot to win this Saturday night at Kansas Speedway based on betting odds as provided by GTBets.


Top Valued Favorite
Both Jimmie Johnson and Kevin Harvick have been opened as +500 favorites at top rated Sportsbooks to win on Saturday night, but I am going with Johnson and the No. 48 Chevrolet as my top-valued pick. It has been an up and down ride for this team over the past few weeks with a 23rd-place run and Bristol and a 22nd-place finish on Sunday wrapped around a Top 3 at Richmond. The main reason I am going with Johnson this week is a very favorable 8.7 average finishing position at this track. I also like the fact that he is coming in as the defending champ in this event and for good measure he rounded-out the Top 3 in the second race at Kansas last year by taking third.


Top Valued Contender
Denny Hamlin made an early splash this season with his victory at Daytona followed by back-to-back third-place runs at Phoenix and Fontana. The No. 11 Toyota has been a bit off since then and last Sunday it fell to 31st in a wreck-filled mess at Talladega. None the less, I like his chances as a top contender this week given his +1500 betting odds. Hamlin knows how to win races at any track, so while his 15.4 average finishing position at Kansas works against his chances, a second-place finish in the second race last season gives him a check mark in the plus column in my book.


Top Valued Longshot
Both Austin Dillon (third) and Chase Elliott (fifth) are coming off solid runs at Talladega, but I am going with Kyle Larson at +3000 as my young-gun longshot pick of the week. As I have been saying all season long that it is just a matter of time before one of NASCAR’s rising stars makes his way to Victory Lane and Larson behind the wheel of the No. 42 car has caught my eye for Saturday night. His best finish this season was third at Martinsville and he started the year with an encouraging seventh-place run at Daytona. This is Larson’s third full-time season racing in the Sprint Cup series and so far his best effort at Kansas Speedway was a second-place finish in the second race here in 2014.


Betting Odds for other Notable Drivers
Following Harvick at +500 betting odds is a group of four drivers listed at +750. Kyle Busch leads the way as the Sprint Cup point leader followed by another two-time winner this season Carl Edwards. The other two drivers at these odds are Joey Logano and Matt Kenseth and each is still looking for their first victory of the season. Moving down the list, the group of four drivers listed at +1000 odds to win includes Brad Keselowski, Martin Truex Jr., Kurt Busch and Dale Earnhardt Jr.

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