NASCAR Sprint Cup Betting Preview: Ford EcoBoost 400

David Schwab

Wednesday, November 18, 2015 10:45 PM GMT

NASCAR’s long and grueling Sprint Cup season all comes down to a four-team race for this season’s title. The Championship Round of this year’s Chase takes place this Sunday afternoon at Homestead-Miami Speedway with the running of the Ford EcoBoost 400. 

The race will start at 3 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on NBC. The following is a look at the betting odds to win both Sunday’s Ford EcoBoost 400 and this season’s Sprint Cup title as provided by 5Dimes.

 

Kevin Harvick: Odds to Win Sunday +350 - Odds to Win Sprint Cup Title +150
You probably cannot go wrong going chalk with both of these bets given what Harvick has been able to accomplish since his amazing run to last season’s Sprint Cup title. Which just so happened to be capped-off with a thrilling victory in this very event at Homestead-Miami. He has guided the No. 4 car to three point-race victories this season including an all-important win at Dover in the third race in this year’s Chase, but what really makes him the favorite to defend his title is 12 additional second-place runs this season. When the heat is on Harvick delivers and you know it is going to be hot in South Florida this Sunday.

 

Kyle Busch: Odds to Win Sunday +600 - Odds to Win Sprint Cup Title +275
Busch missed the first 11 Sprint Cup events this season while recovering from a previous injury, but he made the most of the 24 races he did run in the No. 18 car with four victories including a string of three-straight wins in July. He has been one of the top drivers in the Sprint Cup series for the past several seasons, but in the past when push came to shove in the Chase he has also struggled to race his best. There is no denying that Busch has raced well in this year’s Chase with finishes of fifth or better in five of the last seven events, but I do see him taking that next big step with a win on Sunday given an average finishing position of 23.1 at this track.

 

Martin Truex Jr.: Odds to Win Sunday +1000 - Odds to Win Sprint Cup Title: +300
The expectation level for the No. 78 team was probably not set this high after a distant 24th-place finish in the final standings of last season’s Sprint Cup series, but they are now with Truex Jr’s run to the Championship Round. This team only has one checkered flag to its credit this year, which works against the value in these odds. However, he has raced well in the recent past at Homestead-Miami with a sixth-place finish or higher in three of his last four trips around this track. Another plus is that Truex Jr. will also have the luxury of racing with nothing to lose.

 

Jeff Gordon: Odds to Win Sunday +1000 - Odds to Win Spring Cup Title: +350
While Harvick is the obvious favorite, I am going with fate as my reason for taking Gordon to win this race and the 2015 Sprint Cup title with my sports picks. The No. 24 car came into this season with high expectations in what was to be his final fulltime season racing in this series, but for most of the year this team was an afterthought in many of the races it ran. Its first victory of the season did not come until the seventh race of the Chase at Martinsville, but that was all Gordon needed to secure a spot in Sunday’s Championship Round. Look for one of NASCAR’s greatest drivers to stay on Harvick’s tail all day long in South Florida and do not be surprised if the wiley old vet edges him out for the win.