NASCAR Sprint Cup Betting Preview: Food City 500

David Schwab

Thursday, April 14, 2016 5:54 PM UTC

Thursday, Apr. 14, 2016 5:54 PM UTC

NASCAR’s Sprint Cup series will roll into Bristol Motor Speedway for the first time this season for the eighth point-race event on this year’s slate; the Food City 500.

This year’s race is set to get underway at 1 p.m. (ET) on the short track at Bristol and it will be broadcast nationally on FOX. 

Kyle Busch continued to live-up to his 2015 Sprint Cup title as NASCAR’s top driver with a victory last Saturday night at Texas following his first-place run at Martinsville the week before. Dale Earnhardt Jr. was in the mix at second and Joey Logano placed third.

The following is a look at my top valued favorite, contender and longshot to win this Sunday at Bristol based on betting odds as provided by Bovada.

Top Valued Favorite
While Kyle Busch is a +500 favorite to keep his winning streak alive, I am actually going with Joey Logano with my sports picks at slightly higher +600 odds to break through with his first trip to Victory Lane this season. The No. 22 car has come close a few times with a second-place finish at Las Vegas and a fourth-place run at Fontana to go along with last week’s finish in the Top 3. You kind of get the feeling that this team is due after winning six times last season on its way to a sixth-place finish in the final Sprint Cup standings. Logano had a miserable 40th place run in this event last season, but it was sandwiched between a victory in the second race here in both 2014 and 2015.


Top Valued Contender
I am probably going a bit too far out on a limb with this pick, but I also have a really good feeling about Martin Truex Jr’s chances to win this race as a +1500 top-valued contender. The No. 78 race team missed out on a victory at Daytona by inches and last week at Texas is was right in the mix before dropping back to sixth in the final standings. The one thing working against Truex Jr. this Sunday is a less than stellar performance at Bristol the past few years; however he did post a pair of back-to-back Top 3 finishes in the second race in 2011 and in this event in 2012.


Top Valued Longshot
I have been trying to cash-in on one of the young guns of NASCAR’s Sprint Cup series for seven straight point events and the eighth time might just be the charm with Chase Elliott at +2500 betting odds to win on Sunday. Behind the wheel of the No. 24 car is his first full-time season racing at this level, he has already managed to work his way into the Top 10 in four of his first seven races. His best finish came last Saturday night in Fort Worth when he cracked the Top 5 by taking fifth. Elliott has already shown the necessary confidence to hang with the big boys so he just needs a few breaks to go his way to get that first win.


Betting Odds For Other Notable Drivers
As mentioned, Kyle Busch has been opened as the top favorite to win on Sunday at +500, but another strong contender in the mix is Kevin Harvick at +600. Both Jimmie Johnson and Matt Kenseth are next on the list at +700, but the edge could go to Kenseth as the defending champ in this event. Carl Edwards has been paired with Brad Keselowski at +800 betting odds and Denny Hamlin’s odds to win have been set at +1000. Kyle’s older brother Kurt has been opened at +1200 and Dale Earnhardt Jr. rounds things out at +1800.

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