NASCAR Sprint Cup Betting Preview: Coca-Cola 600 Odds & Picks

David Schwab

Wednesday, May 20, 2015 5:50 PM GMT

NASCAR’s Sprint Cup series remains at Charlotte Motor Speedway for a second-straight week following last Saturday’s Sprint All-Star Race for the running of this season’s Coca-Cola 600 this Sunday night and we have the betting odds and picks for this event. The green flag for this race is set to wave at 3 p.m. (PT) and it will be broadcast nationally on FOX.

Denny Hamlin went wire-to-wire in last week’s All-Star Race after starting from the pole. Kevin Harvick raced his way into second place and Kurt Busch finished third. My top-valued favorite was Jimmie Johnson at +600 betting odds, but he faded to 15th in a field of 20 drivers.

The following is a look at my top valued favorite, contender and longshot to win this Sunday night’s race based on the betting odds compiled by Sportsbook Review.

 

Top Valued Favorite
Both Kevin Harvick and Jimmie Johnson have been lighting up the track this season with a combined five point-race victories in the first 11 events. Harvick has been listed as a +300 favorite for this event, but I am going to stretch the value in these odds with a play on Johnson at betting odds of +600. Heading into last week’s All-Star Race, the No. 48 car had just laid claim to its third checkered flag of the season with a victory at Kansas to extend its streak of a third-place finish or better to five-straight races. Johnson also adds some serious value to these odds as the Coco-Cola 600 defending champion. It was his seventh career victory at Charlotte in a Sprint Cup point race.

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Top Valued Contender
Matt Kenseth ended an extended winless streak that dated back to the 2013 season earlier this year with a victory at Bristol. Going back to that 2013 season, he won seven races that year and I love the value in his +1500 betting odds to guide the No. 20 car to a victory this Sunday night. Kenseth is a threat to win any race he runs and when the odds get this high he almost becomes an automatic pick as a valued contender. What I really like about his chances to win this race is his recent performance at Charlotte. His last point race win here was in 2011 and after finishing third in the second race here is 2013, he placed third in last season’s Coco-Cola 600.

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Top Valued Longshot
Denny Hamlin got hot last week at this track in a shortened exhibition race, so why not roll the dice he stays hot this Sunday night as a moderate +2000 longshot. He has already made his way to Victory Lane in a point race this season with a win at Martinsville to go along with two additional finishes inside the top five. The No. 11 car is in firm position to make this year’s Chase with that win and it is currently 15th in the Sprint Cup standings with 284 total points. Hamlin may lose a bit of value in these odds with a 22nd-place finish in last year’s event, but this poor showing broke a string of seven-straight top-ten finishes at Charlotte in a Sprint Cup point race.

 

Betting Odds for other Notable Drivers
There is a trio of drivers listed at third-favorites on Sportsbook’s list at +700 betting odds made up of Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano and Kurt Busch. All three have made their way to the Winner’s Circle this season in a point race, but none of them finished better than 10th in last year’s Coca-Cola 600. Jeff Gordon, who is still looking for his first win of the season, is next on the list at +1200.