NASCAR’s Sprint Cup series returns to New Hampshire Motor Speedway this Sunday for the second of 10 races in this year’s Chase to the title. This year’s Bad Boy Off Road 300 is set to get underway at 2 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on the NBC Sports Network.
Martin Truex Jr. struck first blood in the race to this season’s Sprint Cup title with a victory last Sunday at Chicagoland. Joey Logano raced his way to a second-place finish and rookie Chase Elliott started his Chase on a strong note by taking third.
The following is a look at my top valued favorite, contender and longshot to win this Sunday’s race at New Hampshire based on betting odds as provided by, in my opinion, the top online sportsbooks in the game when it comes to betting on NASCAR.
Top Valued Favorite
There are three drivers listed as +650 favorites to win this week, but my top NASCAR pick to win is Kyle Busch over Kevin Harvick and last week’s winner Martin Truex Jr +600 at Bet365. The main reason I am going with the No. 18 Toyota this week despite a current slump that includes seven straight finishes outside the Top 5, is Busch’s ability to win at any track he runs in the Sprint Cup series. The defending 2015 champ is just one of two drivers with four checkered flags on this year’s resume and he also brings a pretty strong track record at New Hampshire into this Sunday’s race. In a string of five Sprint Cup events at this track from 2013 to 2015, he has won once and finished second four times.
Top Valued Contender
I have not had all that much success in the past going with Jimmie Johnson at higher odds to win, but this week could be different as my top-valued contender. He has been listed +1150 at 5Dimes betting odds to win his first race since Week 5 of this year’s Sprint Cup schedule and I like his chances to get it done. The No. 48 car has struggled over the past several weeks, but this is the time of the year when the best drivers tend to find their A-Game when faced with possible elimination from the Chase for the title. A big plus is that Johnson has been very consistent at this track in recent years with eight runs out of seven in his last 13 Sprint Cup events here.
Top Valued Longshot
I have been touting rookie driver Chase Elliott all season long as one of my top longshots to win and I am not about to stop now following last week’s strong third-place finish. He has been listed +2000 at 5Dimes, where you can get a bonus of 50% Free Play, to take the next step this week with his first career Sprint Cup victory driving the No. 24 Chevrolet and I believe there is a ton of value in those odds. Elliott moved up to sixth in the current Sprint Cup standings with last week’s run and on the year he has now posted eight Top 5 runs. His first race at New Hampshire this season was forgettable with a distance 34th-place finish, but I am banking on the momentum from last week to carry over to this Sunday afternoon.
Betting Odds for other Notable Drivers
The second wave of favorites to win at New Hampshire includes Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin, and Matt Kenseth at 850 odds at 5Dimes. Kenseth could have the best value as the defending champ of this race. Carl Edwards is next on the list +975 at 5Dimes odds to win and joining Johnson +1150 at 5Dimes odds is Brad Keselowski. Kyle Larson is next at +1350 followed by Kurt Busch at +1700.