The following is a look at the top valued favorite, contender and longshot on the betting odds to win this Sunday’s race at Chicagoland Speedway.
I cashed-in on Matt Kenseth as a +800 favorite to win last week’s race at Richmond after he posted his fourth point-race victory of the season. Kyle Busch ended the regular season on a strong note with a second-place finish and Joey Logano rounded-out the Top 3 at Richmond.
Top Valued Favorite
It is time to get serious about winning races with the start of the Chase and even though Kevin Harvick has been shutout of Victory Lane since mid-March I am going with him as this week’s top favorite at +450 betting odds at 5Dimes. There has been no other driver that has come close to Harvick’s consistency this season with 18 Top 5 finishes through 26 point races. To me this basically guarantees he will be right in the mix this Sunday. I also believe that since he won the title in 2014 in the first year of elimination rounds in the Chase, he has a slight edge over the rest of the field. The No. 4 car finished fifth at Chicago last season and over the course of his career Harvick has an average finishing position of 9.6 at this track.
Top Valued Contender
Six-time Sprint Cup Champion Jimmie Johnson has been very quiet the past few months, but this is another driver you want to get behind this time of the year, especially at longer +1200 odds to win this Sunday. All off his titles were won under the old rules of the Chase, which was the cumulative result of all 10 races, but the one constant is he knows how to win. The No. 48 car with Johnson behind the wheel has an average finishing position of 9.1 at this track so despite the fact that he is still searching for his first career win at Chicago he is another driver to consider for a sports pick as he should be in position to win late Sunday afternoon.
Top Valued Longshot
Dale Earnhardt Jr. is the only driver ranked in the Top 10 of this season’s Chase that has betting odds of +2500 to win this race. The No. 88 car posted two point-race wins this season and it has finished inside the Top 5 a total of 12 times this season. Heading into Sunday’s race, this team has not finished outside the Top 10 in its last four Sprint Cup races so current form and consistency adds value to these long odds. The main reason that Dale Jr.’s odds are so high is a less than stellar track record at Chicago. He did win here in 2005, but his best finish since then is third in 2011. I still believe the value is there to stun the field this time around.
Betting Odds for other Notable Drivers
There is a trio of drivers listed as +600 second-favorites to win on Sunday including Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch and Matt Kenseth. Joey Logano is next on the list at +700 followed by Kurt Busch at +800. Carl Edwards’ betting odds to win this race have been set at +1000 and Denny Hamlin has been listed at +1200 betting odds to start this year’s Chase with a win.