It will be a prime time sprint around the short track oval at Bristol Motor Speedway this Saturday night with the running of the Irwin Tools Night Race.
Last week at Michigan, Matt Kenseth finished first to post his third Sprint Cup victory of the season in a point race. My top favorite for last week was Kevin Harvick and he finished second with Martin Truex Jr. rounding-out the top three places in that race.
The following is a look at my top valued favorite, contender and longshot to win this Saturday night’s race based on betting odds provided by Bovada.
Top Valued Favorite
I am going to have to go with Matt Kenseth at +600 to win again this week. After getting completely shutout of the Winner’s Circle in 2014, he has regained that form that makes the No. 20 car a threat to win any race it runs. If you go back the 2013 Sprint Cup season, this team made its way to Victory Lane seven times in a point race. The main reason I am going with Kenseth this week is a projected sweep at Bristol after ending his extended winless drought with a win in the first race here this season. All told, Kenseth has posted four career victories at this track in a Sprint Cup race.
Top Valued Contender
Any time I can get longer odds on Jimmie Johnson I am going to jump at the chance. That is the case this week at +1000 betting odds to win at Bristol on Saturday night. There was no hotter team than the No. 48 car earlier in the season with a run of three victories and four additional Top 3 finishes over a stretch of eight point races. Since then, it has only posted one Top 5 finish, but the team is still leading the way in total victories on the year (4) and it is sitting in sixth-place in the Sprint Cup standings with 752 total points. Johnson also adds value with his recent performance at this track. He finished fourth in last year’s night race at Bristol and in the first race here this season he posted a second-place run.
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Top Valued Longshot
I have been way off base with my longshot sports pick the past few weeks, but I have also been taking some high risk/high reward flyers on some heavy odds. This week, I have settled-in on Kasey Kahne at +2800. Behind the wheel of the No. 5 car, he was once one the hottest up-and-coming commodities in the Sprint Cup series, but sitting in 17th place in the current standings it appears that he will need a victory in the next few weeks to ensure himself a spot in this year’s Chase. Kahne finished 37th in the first race at Bristol after getting taken out in a wreck, but if you go back to the 2013 season, he won the first race here and finished second in this event.
Betting Odds for other Notable Drivers
Following a trio of favorites at +600 that also includes Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch, the next driver on the list at +700 betting odds is Brad Keselowski. The defending champion of last year’s race is Joey Logano and his odds to repeat have been set at +750. Joining Johnson at +1000 are Carl Edwards and Kurt Busch with Denny Hamlin (+1200) and Martin Truex Jr. (+1400) rounding-out the Top 10.