Sunday’s race is set to get underway at 1 p.m. ET and will be broadcast nationally on FOX.
Last Sunday at Pocono, Kasey Kahne made his way to victory lane for the second time this season. Our value racing pick to win this race at +1000 was Jeff Gordon, but he came-up just short with a second-place finish. Kurt Busch turned in one of his better performances this year by taking third.
The following is a look at a few of the top favorites for this Sunday’s race along with our top value pick based on NASCAR odds provided by Sportsbook.
Given the fact that Watkins Glen is a road course as opposed to the traditional oval track it is no big surprise that Marcos Ambrose has been opened as a +400 favorite to win this week. He is usually a factor in road course races given his past experience in open-wheel racing. The No. 9 car finished seventh at Sonoma earlier in the year, which is the other road course on the Sprint Cup series schedule. Adding even more value to his odds, Ambrose comes into this race as the two-time defending champion. He has never finished outside of the top three in five career Sprint Cup races at this track.
Juan Pablo Montoya is another Sprint Cup driver with extensive open-wheel racing experience. He has been opened at +700 to break through with a win this week. Racing in the No. 42 car he did post a fourth-place finish at Richmond and a second-place finish at Dover earlier in the year, but ended-up a disappointing 34th at Sonoma. Montoya had a rough go of it in last year’s race at Watkins Glen after getting taken out early in a crash, but he did finish in the top 10 in four previous runs at this track including a victory here in 2010.
Another driver opened at +700 to win this race is Kyle Busch. He is currently sitting in sixth-place in the Sprint Cup standings with 646 points after guiding the No.18 car to two victories and seven other top-10 finishes in the first 21 point races of the year. Busch won this race in 2008 and has placed in the top 10 in his last seven trips around this track. In eight career races at Watkins Glen he has an average finishing position of 9.0.
Keeping it in the family, Kurt Busch has also been opened at +700 to win on Sunday. Last week’s third-place finish was his fifth Top Five of the year, but he is still on the outside looking in as far as the Chase; sitting in 13th place in the standings. Busch has had some success at this track in the past including a second-place finish in this race in 2010, but much of the value in his odds is drained with a 38th-place finish in 2011 and a 31st-place finish last year.
Top Value Pick
Given the nature of this race, many of the top Sprint Cup drivers draw much longer odds this week, but our top value betting pick to pull off the upset is Kevin Harvick at +1500. He raced the 29 car to a 10th-place finish at Sonoma and his overall form remains solid with victories at Richmond and Charlotte this season. The team is currently in fourth place in the standings with 675 points. Harvick finished 15th in last year’s race at the Glen but already proved he can win here with a victory in 2006.
NASCAR Pick: Kevin Harvick 15/1 at Bovada
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