NASCAR Sprint Cup Betting: 500 Odds Preview & Betting Picks

David Lawrence

Thursday, October 22, 2015 10:52 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 22, 2015 10:52 PM UTC

The Chase for the Sprint Cup continues with the final race in the 12-driver Contender Round before the field is reduced to eight following this Sunday’s 500 from the Talladega Superspeedway.

Joey Logano is the only driver that has clinched a spot in the Eliminator Round after winning at Kansas last weekend and with four drivers set to get cut the pressure will be on this weekend. Here is a look at the track and betting odds for the 500 at Pinnacle.


About The Track
There might not be a more exciting track for this race to take place than the Talladega Superspeedway as every single driver will hope they can stay out of trouble long enough to avoid “the big one”. The 2.66-mile layout will make this race a lot less predictable than some of the 1.5-mile ovals that we have seen throughout the Chase to this point with the elite teams losing the edge that they held on those tracks. Talladega is as much about luck as it is skill and while anything can happen we feel we have narrowed down the list of drivers most likely to succeed in this Sunday’s 500.


Best Bet To Win Outright: Dale Earnhardt Jr. +800
Dale Jr. has never won a Championship but he has shown flashes of his potential the last two years and has been at his best in restrictor-plate races this season. Dale Jr. picked up his sixth win at Talladega back in May and then won at Daytona in July so his only two wins this season have come in restrictor-plate races. The driver of the No. 88 Chevrolet currently sits 21 points out of eighth-place so he will likely need to win this race in order to advance to the next round. The combination of his overall success at Talladega and urgency to win this race should be enough to make him the best bet to win this weekend and at a pretty good price.


Best Bet To Finish Top-Five: Matt Kenseth +1000
Kenseth is probably still fuming after he was wrecked by Logano late at Kansas but he will have to settle down and focus on a strong start this weekend in order to avoid being eliminated from the Chase altogether this weekend. Kenseth struggled in restrictor-plate races earlier in his career but he has turned things around dramatically since then including a win at Talladega in 2012 and a runner-up finish in this race last fall. Kenseth currently sits 25 points out of eighth-place and while a win would solidify his spot in the next round he can still make it through with a runner-up finish and a little help. With both drivers needing the win to get through and having had some recent success at Talladega it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Kenseth and Earnhardt neck-and-neck as they try to grind out a win this weekend. Dale Jr. got the edge as our consensus best sports pick to win the race but look for Kenseth to be in the mix as well as a lock to finish in the top-five.

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