NASCAR Sprint Cup Betting: AAA 400 Odds Preview & Free Picks

David Lawrence

Wednesday, September 30, 2015 7:52 PM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 30, 2015 7:52 PM UTC

The Chase for the Sprint Cup travels to the Monster Mile this weekend for the AAA 400 from the Dover International Speedway and while at least two drivers have guaranteed their spots through the next round of cuts there is tremendous pressure across the board to win this race.

Breaking Down The Monster Mile
There are a lot of similarities between Dover and New Hampshire so while we can look at the recent history of each driver at this track in order to get a good read on what to expect we can also look at last week’s results. Here is a breakdown of what to expect in this weekend’s AAA 400 beginning with the allure of the Monster Mile.

Miles the Monster is the name of the giant statue that was built to overlook Dover and while it is one of the newer tracks to be included in the Chase it is definitely a good choice for the playoff. Dover is a lot like New Hampshire with both tracks one-mile ovals but the biggest difference is that there is a lot more banking at the Monster Mile and that puts an even greater emphasis on the skill sets of the drivers. One of the biggest keys will be having a car that handles well as the teams that set up their cars to turn well in all four corners will do the best this weekend. The team’s that ran well at New Hampshire last weekend should do well again this week although there is one familiar name who will have much higher expectations for the AAA 400 after placing sixth last weekend.


Best Bet To Win It All

Jimmie Johnson +600 at 5Dimes
Nobody likes to see Miles the Monster more than Johnson, who has dominated at Dover throughout his career. Johnson is by far the best sports pick on the board this week as his last win came at this track back in late May and he owns a series-best driver rating as well as a series-high average finish position at Dover. Johnson has struggled of late but he had placed 15th and 40th in the All-Star Race and Sprint Cup race at Charlotte before winning at Dover the following week and he should feel very confident about his chances this week. Overall, Johnson has 10-career wins including the last three at the Monster Mile and it’s a surprise he isn’t the outright favorite to win this weekend’s race.


Best Bet To Finish Top-3

Joey Logano +250
The title of favorites on the betting odds belongs to Johnson and Kevin Harvick this weekend but Matt Kenseth won at New Hampshire last week and is a good bet to place in the top-five this weekend. Still, we like Logano’s chances a little better based on his recent results and his career resume at this track. Logano has strung together seven straight top-five finishes overall and Dover also happens to be one of his best tracks as he has finished in the top-10 in five of his last six starts there. Logano might not win this race outright but he should be able to extend his run of top-five finishes this weekend. 

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