NASCAR Picks: Odds Favorites, Contenders & Longshots For Pennsylvania 400

David Schwab

Thursday, July 28, 2016 6:47 PM UTC

Thursday, Jul. 28, 2016 6:47 PM UTC

NASCAR’s Sprint Cup series will make its second stop of the season at Pocono Raceway for the running of this year’s Pennsylvania 400. Kyle Busch comes in as the favorite and his brother Kurt won here earlier in the year. 

I cashed in on Kyle Busch at +600 betting odds last week as my top favorite and I came close on my top contender pick at +1800 with Denny Hamlin taking fourth. Finishing in between these two at Indianapolis was Matt Kenseth in second place and Jimmie Johnson in third.

The following is a look at my top valued favorite for betting picks, contenders, and longshot to win this Sunday at Pocono based on betting odds.


Top Valued Favorite
On the heels of his Top 3 finish last week, I am going with Jimmie Johnson as my top valued favorite to win this time around at +800 at WilliamHill. He has the No. 48 Chevrolet in excellent position for this year’s Chase with a pair of checkered flags and his team is currently holding down the eighth spot in the Sprint Cup standings with 552 points. Along with the current form, the main reason I am touting Johnson as the top favorite this week is a solid performance at Pocono in recent years. Going back over his last 11 point race events here, he has finished sixth or better seven times including a victory in the first race in 2013.

Top Valued Contender
When it comes to current form, Joey Logano is near the top of the list with five Top 5 runs in five of his last seven point race events. This includes a victory at Michigan in mid-June and a third-place finish just two weeks ago at New Hampshire. The No. 22 Ford is gearing up for a title run in this year’s Chase as the fourth-best team in the standings with 606 total points. One of those recent Top 5 finishes came in the first race at Pocono this season when he ended up fifth and he has now placed fifth or better in three of his last four trips around this oval.


Top Valued Longshot
As a replacement driver for Dale Earnhardt Jr., NASCAR legend Jeff Gordon officially came out of retirement last week to guide the No. 88 Chevrolet to a 13th-place finish at Indianapolis. He will be behind the wheel for at least one more race and his odds to actually win at Pocono have been set at +2000. To me, there is quite a bit of value in those odds. You know that Gordon will be highly motivated to take the checkered flag at one of his favorite tracks throughout the course of his storied career. Driving the No. 24 Chevrolet, he posted six Sprint Cup victories at Pocono and he closed out his run here with a third-place finish in this event last season.


Betting Odds for other Notable Drivers
Last week’s winner Kyle Busch has been listed as a +500 at Bet365 favorite to win against this Sunday and he is closely followed by Kevin Harvick as a +600 at Bet365 second-favorite to win. Joining Johnson at +800 betting odds is Martin Truex Jr and there is a trio of drivers next on the list at +900 made up of Denny Hamlin, Matt Kenseth, and Carl Edwards. Brad Keselowski offers some value at +1000 odds as a four-time winner this year and Kurt Busch’s odds to pull off the season sweep at Pocono have been set at +1200 after winning the first race here back in early June. Keep an eye on rookie Chase Elliott at +1500 in pursuit of his first Sprint Cup win.

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