NASCAR O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 at Texas Preview

texas speedway

David Schwab

Wednesday, April 4, 2018 4:53 PM GMT

Wednesday, Apr. 4, 2018 4:53 PM GMT

The Monster Energy Cup Series took a break last week, but the boys of NASCAR are back at it Sunday in the Lone Star State. The O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 is scheduled to get underway from Texas Motor Speedway at 2 p.m. on FOX Sports 1.

The last NASCAR Monster Energy Cup Series race at Martinsville on March 24 was delayed a day due to snow, and Clint Bowyer made the most of things by ending a long winless drought with a win. Kyle Busch posted his third runner-up finish of the season and Ryan Blaney rounded out the top three.

The betting odds for this Sunday’s O'Reilly Auto Parts 500 at Texas have been posted at 5Dimes, and the following drivers offer the best value when it comes to breaking down the numbers.

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Can the reigning champ ✅ another 1.5-mile track off his list?@MartinTruex_Jr on Texas: https://t.co/Ry8yYGP2FZ pic.twitter.com/3w6odKhwCK

— NASCAR (@NASCAR) April 3, 2018
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Top Valued Favorite: Kyle Busch +450

A three-time winner this season, Kevin Harvick has lower betting odds to win again this week (+250) after two rough outings. However, I really like the value in Busch’s odds in an effort to finally break through with his first victory of the year. He has already guided the No. 18 Toyota to a finish in the top three in each of his last four races, so it is easy to say that this team is overdue for a trip to Victory Lane.

These early efforts have vaulted Busch to the top of the current Cup Series standings with 257 total points. Adding value to his odds to win on Sunday is a strong performance at this track in recent seasons, including victories in this race in 2013 and 2016.

Top Valued Contender: Denny Hamlin +1200

Hamlin is the type of veteran NASCAR driver who always adds value to longer odds to win a race. He is off to a solid start this season driving the No. 11 Toyota with a third-place run in the Daytona 500 followed by a pair of fourth-place finishes at Atlanta and later at Phoenix. He has already led 193 laps through his first six events to hold down sixth place in the standings with 217 points.

Hamlin has not posted the best results in his recent trips around the track at Texas, and his average finishing position there over the course of his Cup Series career is a pedestrian 12.2. However, he has won here twice to go along with a third-place finish in the second race at Fort Worth in 2017.

Top Valued Long Shot: Ryan Blaney +2000

This is just Blaney’s third full-time season racing at NASCAR’s highest level, and he is already making some noise with four runs inside the top 10 in the first six events. The third-place finish at Martinsville was his second Top 5 run after taking fifth in Las Vegas. Driving the No. 12 Ford, he has led 264 laps after leading a total of 301 laps in 36 races last season. The value in his odds to win this week weigh heavy on this team’s current from.

This will be Blaney’s seventh career trip around the oval at Texas Motor Speedway in a Cup Series event. The early results are nothing too spectacular, starting with three runs outside the top 25 drivers. He continues to move in the right direction with a pair of 12th-place runs followed by a sixth-place finish in the second race at this track in 2017.

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