There are just two races left in NASCAR’s Monster Engery Cup Series regular season heading into this weekend’s open spot in the schedule. So it's a perfect time to check the updated odds to win the championship.
Following a stop at Darlington next week and Richmond on Sept. 10, the top 16 drivers in the final regular-season Cup series point standings will compete in a 10-race elimination round playoff to determine the final four drivers who will vie for the season racing title at Homestead-Miami in the final point race of the year. The following is a look at my top valued favorite, contender and longshot to win this season’s Monster Energy Cup Series title based on updated future odds as provided by 5Dimes.
Top Valued Favorite
The trio of Martin Truex Jr., Kyle Busch, and Kyle Larson routinely opens as the top favorites to win each week, so it stands to reason that these three drivers would have the best odds on the board to win this year’s title. Of the three, I would go with Kyle Busch at +350 odds as my top-valued favorite. While it took him over five months to win his first race this season with a victory at Pocono on July 30, he is now in championship form with last week’s victory at Bristol. With that, the No. 18 Toyota moved to second place in the current standings with 850 total points. Busch won the championship in 2015 and he finished third last season, so you know that he will be right in the mix this year.
Top Valued Contender
Denny Hamlin continues to make a move up the point standings with last week’s third-place run, and he now has his No. 11 Toyota in fifth place with a total of 753 points. His victory at New Hampshire in mid-July sealed his spot in the 10-race playoff to go along with another eight runs inside the top five. The veteran driver is seventh on the NASCAR futures list at 5Dimes with +1350 betting odds to finally win his first career racing title. I believe that Hamlin’s motivation runs deep with a number of close calls over the years, including a third-place finish in the final standings in 2014.
Top Valued Long Shot
The first thing you need to do when it comes to finding value in a long shot is to find a driver with longer odds who is pretty much a lock to make it into the playoff. The one driver who jumps off the list is Joey Logano at +3300 odds to win the 2017 title. He is on the outside looking in right now in 18thplace when it comes to total points, but a previous victory in the first race at Richmond this season should be enough to get him into the field of 16. It has been a rough go of things for the No. 22 Ford this season with a number of finishes outside the top 20, but Logano’s past success in the 10-race playoff adds some huge value to such long odds. He finished second to Jimmie Johnson last season after placing fourth in the final standings in 2014.
Odds For Other Notable Drivers
Truex Jr. is the favorite to win this year’s racing title at +325 odds and Larson is listed as a +650 third-favorite. Seven-time champion Jimmie Johnson is next on the list at +700, followed by 2014 champion Kevin Harvick at +750 odds to win. Brad Keselowski won a Cup series title in 2012 and his odds to win again this year are set at +850.Talk NASCAR Betting In Our Forum