NASCAR Cup Series KC Masterpiece 400 Preview and Picks

Martin Truex Jr

David Schwab

Wednesday, May 9, 2018 7:41 PM UTC

Wednesday, May. 9, 2018 7:41 PM UTC

NASCAR’s Monster Energy Cup Series heads to the Midwest this week for its second prime-time run of this season with Saturday night’s KC Masterpiece 400 at Kansas Speedway. The green flag for Saturday’s main event is set to wave at 8 p.m. (ET) with FOX Sports 1 covering the national broadcast.

Last Sunday at Dover, Kevin Harvick tamed the Monster Mile to make his fourth trip of the season to Victory Lane through the first 11 Cup Series events. Two drivers well down the list on 5Dimes’ betting odds to win this race kept things interesting with Clint Bowyer finishing second and Daniel Suarez taking third.

Using the betting odds at 5Dimes sportsbook to win this Saturday night’s NASCAR Cup Series race at Kansas, the following three drivers offer the best value on the board in my book.

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Starting this weekend...@MattKenseth is BACK! 🍿 #MondayMotivation pic.twitter.com/fiAPH64p46

— NASCAR on NBC (@NASCARonNBC) May 7, 2018
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Top Valued Favorite: Martin Truex Jr. +350

Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch have combined to win seven of the first 11 Cup Series events, but I like the defending Cup Series Champion to join the list of multiple winners with his second victory of the year on Saturday night. Truex won this year’s race at Fontana behind the wheel of the No. 78 Toyota as part of his six runs inside the top five this season. He has led a total of 264 laps in 11 events to move his team into fifth place in the current Cup Series standings with 340 total points.

The main reason I am going with Truex as my top-valued favorite this week is his two-race winning streak at this track. He swept both events last season at Kansas as part of his six total Cup Series victories in that 2017 title run.

Top Valued Contender: Brad Keselowski +1000

The No. 2 Ford is still looking for its first win of the season and despite the fact that it has only placed in the top five in two events, Keselowski has quietly gotten his team to seventh in the standings with 365 total points. His best finish of the year was second at Atlanta after leading that race for 38 laps. After leading last week’s race for 108 laps before fading to sixth, Keselowski’s total laps led this season stands at 247.

This is another driver that adds value to his odds racing at Kansas. His last victory at this track in a Cup Series event was in the first race here in 2011. He made a strong push at winning this event last year by finishing second to Truex. Keselowski has finished in the top 10 at Kansas in four of his last six Cup Series races.

Top Valued Long Shot: Matt Kenseth +50000

Sometimes I base my longshot picks on current form and sometimes I will look for a driver with longer odds that has raced well in the past at that week’s venue. This time around, I am going on past reputation with a driver that has a proven track record of winning races. Kenseth walked away from the Cup Series at the end of 2017 after finishing seventh in the final standings. This was his 18th season racing at NASCAR’s highest level and over the course of that career he had 39 victories to his credit. His brief retirement came to an end when he decided to get behind the wheel of the No. 6 Ford for his old racing team, Roush Fenway starting with this race.

While his odds to win on Saturday night are long for a reason, his pair of victories at Kansas in 2012 and 2013 is enough reason to take a small flyer on one of my favorite NASCAR drivers over the years.

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