NASCAR Cup Series Again in Prime Time at Quaker State 400

quaker state 400

David Schwab

Wednesday, July 11, 2018 12:30 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 11, 2018 12:30 PM UTC

NASCAR’s Monster Energy’s Cup Series has reached the hallway point of its 36-race schedule heading into this Saturday night’s race at Kentucky Speedway. The Quaker State 400 is slated to get underway at 7:30 (ET) with NBC Sports Network carrying it.

In a crash-filled mess at Daytona last Saturday night, Erik Jones survived the wreckage to post his first career Cup Series victory. He is just the seventh driver to win a point race this season. Martin Truex Jr. finished second as my top contender and AJ Allmendinger rounded out the top three.

NASCAR’s betting odds to win this Saturday night’s race at Kentucky have been posted on 5Dimes, and the following drivers offer the best value in their numbers.

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.@carol_jones4 received the call of a lifetime Saturday. On Tuesday, she called #NASCARAmerica to describe her emotions. https://t.co/vxTkfcoCoV

— NASCAR on NBC (@NASCARonNBC) July 11, 2018
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Top Valued Favorite: Kyle Busch +365

Busch’s night ended early at Daytona in a wreck that dropped the No. 18 Toyota to 33rd in the final running order. It was the first time in his last six races that he failed to crack the top five. He remains at the top of the Cup Series standings with five victories and a total of 749 total points. All told, he has placed inside the top five in 12 of his first 18 point races this season.

The real value in his odds to win at Kentucky is a highly impressive 5.1 average finishing position at this track. Busch was fifth in this event last season.

Top Valued Contender: Clint Bowyer +1600

Bowyer has been racing at NASCAR’s highest level for quite some time, but he is off to one of his best starts since joining the Cup Series full time in 2006. His No. 14 Ford is sixth in the standings with 594 total points, and he is just one of four drivers with multiple victories this season after winning at Martinsville and Michigan. He has already led twice as many laps this year (331) than in his last four racing seasons combined (145).

Kentucky has not been one his favorite tracks in the seven years this track has been on the Cup Series schedule, but the value in Bowyer’s odds lies in his current racing form. His best finish at the venue was third in 2013.

Top Valued Long Shot: Denny Hamlin +2200

Hamlin has been on a bit of a slide lately with just two runs inside the top 10 over his last five races, including a 38th-place finish last week at Daytona in an early wreck. This followed a fifth-place finish at Kansas and a top-three run at Charlotte at the end of May. The No. 11 Toyota is still looking for its first victory this season, but the team remains competitive in ninth place in the standings with 538 total points. Hamlin does have six runs inside the top five this season.

One of the main reasons I like the value in Hamlin’s odds to win this race is his recent performance at this track. He has yet to win at Kentucky, but he has come close with a third-place finish in 2015 and a fourth-place run in last year’s event.

Betting Odds for Other Notable Drivers

Kevin Harvick has not won a race since mid-May, but with five total victories on the year you can see why he is a +275 favorite on 5Dimes’ board. Truex Jr. joins Busch at +365 odds followed by Kyle Larson at +525. The odds really fall off from there with Brad Keselowski next on the list after Bowyer at +1700 odds to win. Three more drivers are set at +2200 along with Hamlin to round out the top 10.

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