NASCAR Betting - Kevin Harvick Is The Solid Favorite To Win At Phoenix

David Schwab

Wednesday, November 9, 2016 4:58 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 9, 2016 4:58 PM UTC

NASCAR’s Sprint Cup series Chase to the 2016 title heads to Phoenix International Raceway this Sunday afternoon with one more automatic qualifying spot up for grabs in the Can-Am 500. Join expert capper as he reviews the betting odds for this race.


Carl Edwards earned one of those three automatic qualifiers for this season’s final championship race at Homestead-Miami with his victory last Sunday at Texas. Joey Logano helped his title chances with a second-place run and Martin Truex Jr. rounded-out the Top 3.

The following is a look at my top valued favorite, contender and longshot to win this Sunday afternoon at Phoenix based on betting odds as provided by 5Dimes. When it comes to odds for any NASCAR racing event, 5Dimes is the top online sportsbook for all your betting action.


Top Valued Favorite

Kevin Harvick stumbled out of the gate to start this year’s Chase and he quickly bounced back with a victory at New Hampshire. Facing possible elimination in the Round of 12, he took the checkered flag at Kansas to automatically advance to this round. Following a pair of disappointing runs at Martinsville and Texas, he is once again faced with a ‘must win’ situation to keep his Sprint Cup title hopes alive. Given this kind of motivation, there is some solid value in his +600 betting odds to win as the top favorite. More important is an incredible run at Phoenix over the past few seasons. Harvick guided the No. 4 Chevrolet to a victory in the first race here this season as part of his six trips to Victory Lane in his last eight Sprint Cup races at this track.


Top Valued Contender

Another Chase driver with his back against the wall coming into this race is Matt Kenseth and his betting odds to win this week have been set at +1200. He currently has the No. 20 Toyota in fifth place in the Sprint Cup standings with a total of 4073 points and the only way to ensure that he keeps his title hopes alive is with a win on Sunday. Kenseth is still looking for his first trip to the Winner’s Circle in this year’s Chase after coming dangerously close with a second-place run at both New Hampshire and Charlotte. Working against these odds is an average finishing position of 16.3 at Phoenix, but this is still a veteran driver that knows how to win races when he has to.

 Top Valued Longshot

I have been riding Kurt Busch at longer odds for most of this season’s Chase and I am not about to stop now given his extremely long +6000 odds to win on Sunday. He is well off the pace in the standings with 4040 points so the only way he can keep his title hopes alive is with a win at Phoenix. After racing well enough behind the wheel of the No. 41 Chevrolet to advance into the Round of 8, Busch has placed 22nd at Martinsville and 20th at Texas. The one saving grace for his chances to turn things around this Sunday is a respectable run at Phoenix that includes a finish of seventh or better in his last four Sprint Cup events.

 Betting Odds For Other Notable Drivers

Following Harvick as one of the top favorites to win this race is Kyle Busch at +700 betting odds. He is tied with Joey Logano for third place in the standings and still looking for his first victory in this year’s Chase. Logano joins Denny Hamlin as +800 third-favorites to win and Martin Truex Jr. rounds out the Top 5 at +1000. Jimmie Johnson and Carl Edwards are already in the championship race with their earlier victories in the round and their odds to win again this week have been set at +1200 along with Brad Keselowski.


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