The NASCAR Sprint Cup series returns to Daytona International Speedway this 4th of July Holiday weekend for the running of the Coke Zero 400 under the lights of this fabled track. Saturday night’s race is set to get underway at 4:30 p.m. (PT) and it will be broadcast nationally on TNT.
Last Saturday night in Kentucky, Matt Kenseth posted his fourth point race victory of the season with Jamie McMurry claiming second and Clint Bowyer taking third. Our value pick to win this race was Brad Keselowski at +1200 but he got taken out in a wreck and finished 33rd.
The betting odds are riding a hot hand this week with Matt Kenseth listed as a +800 favorite to make it two in-a-row on Saturday night. It is hard to argue with this kind of logic considering that the No. 20 car has made its way to victory lane more times than any other driver this season. It is currently in fifth-place in the Sprint Cup standings with 528 points. Kenseth adds even more value to these odds given his recent performance at this track. He finished second in this race in 2011 and last season he won the Daytona 500 and finished third in the Coke Zero 400.
Dale Earnhardt Jr. has put together a solid season so far with nine top-10 finishes that has the No. 88 car in sixth place in the standings with 512 points. The problem is this team has recorded just one victory in the past five seasons. This track has always been one of Junior’s favorites to race on over the years so it is easy to see why he has been opened as a +1000 second-favorite to win this race. He has finished second in three of the last four Daytona 500’s and posted a fourth-place finish in this race in 2010 adding some solid value to these odds.
There are a few drivers listed as +1200 third-favorites, but the best sports betting value in these odds is with the current Sprint Cup point leader Jimmie Johnson. The No. 48 car could be primed for a big night after late-race mishaps cost him a chance to win in his last three point races. Overall, this team has already won three times this season including the Daytona 500 and has four additional top-five finishes. Johnson’s win at this track to open the 2013 season broke a string of six-straight finishes of 20th or worse at this track.
Another driver listed at +1200 to with the Coke Zero 400 is Kyle Busch. He is a two-time winner in the Sprint Cup series this season and has been in the mix quite a few times with six additional top five’s. The No. 18 car is currently sitting in seventh place in the standings with 500 points. Busch has struggled at Daytona in recent years with just two top-10 finishes in his last nine races here which definitely saps some value from these odds.
Top Value Pick
There are a number of interesting drivers with longer odds this week but our choice for the top value pick to win is Greg Biffle at +2000. He is in ninth-place in the standings with 489 points and along with a mid-June victory at Michigan, he has raced the No. 16 car to a fourth-place finish at Texas and a second-place finish earlier in June at Pocono. Biffle finished third in the Daytona 500 in 2012 and ended-up sixth in this year’s race.