Last Saturday night at Charlotte, Jimmie Johnson took home the $1 million prize for winning the All-Star Race followed by Joey Logano and Kyle Busch. Our value NASCAR pick for this non-point event was Carl Edwards at +1200, but he ended-up 10th after starting on the pole.
NASCAR Sprint Cup Betting Preview- Coca Cola 600
The following is a look at a few of the top favorites for this Sunday’s race along with our value pick based on their current odds to win as provided by Bovada.
There is no one hotter right now in the Sprint Cup series than Jimmie Johnson so it is easy to see why he has been opened as a +450 favorite to win again at Charlotte this week. The No. 48 car has already notched two point race victories and four other top-five finishes this season to hold down the top spot in the Sprint Cup standings with 423 points. Johnson finished 11th in last season’s Coca Cola 600 but over the course of his career he has won here six times and has an average finishing position of 11.4.
There are two second-favorites listed at +600 starting with Matt Kenseth. He is another driver that is off to a hot start this season with three victories in the first 11 point races. Despite getting docked points a few weeks back for an engine violation, the No. 20 team is still in third place in the standings with 364 points. Kenseth has already led 781 laps this season and he has finished in the top 10 in seven races. His recent performance at Charlotte adds some value to these odds with victory in the second race here in 2011 followed by a 10th-place finish in this race last year.
The other driver listed at +600 to win on Sunday is Kyle Busch. He went on a mini-tear earlier this season with two victories in three races but has cooled a bit since then. The No. 18 car is in eighth-place in the standings with 325 points on the strength of three additional top-five finishes. Busch has never won a Sprint Cup point race at Charlotte but appears to be way overdue after finishing in the top five in five of his last six races here. He has only finished outside the top 10 once in his last 11 races at this track.
The fourth-favorite to win this race at +700 is Denny Hamlin. This will be his third point race since missing a few weeks with a back injury after a brutal wreck at Fontana. He finished 34th at Talladega in his first race back but quickly returned to form with a second-place finish at Darlington before last week’s All-Star Race. The No. 11 car has never won a point race at Charlotte but Hamlin did post back-to-back second-place finishes in 2012 to add even more value to these odds.
Top Value Pick
There are a number of quality drivers with longer odds for this race, but we are going with Dale Earnhardt Jr. as our top value pick to win at +1500. He has yet to win a race this season but with seven top-10 finishes, including three in the top five, he has been in the hunt for a checkered flag almost every week. The No. 88 car is currently fourth in the standings with 359 points. Some of the value is lost considering Junior’s overall performance at this track during the course of his career, but he did post a seventh-place finish in this race in 2011 and he finished sixth in the second race here in 2012.