MLS Week 21 Prop Betting: NY Red Bulls vs. New England Revolution

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, July 7, 2015 6:09 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 7, 2015 6:09 PM UTC

With the New England Revolution on the heels of a 4-game losing streak, are MLS soccer picks on the NY Red Bulls the best bet here or do some of the prop bets maybe offer better value?

New England Revolution vs. New York Red Bulls
MLS Live, MSG (USA): 7 p.m. ET/4 p.m. PT
The New England Revolution head to Red Bull Arena in Harrison, New Jersey on Saturday night to face the New York Red Bulls in this MLS Week 21 Eastern Conference game which will massive for both clubs. 

The New York Red Bulls (6-5-5, 22 GF-20 GA) play host to the New England Revolution (6-6-7, 25 GF-26 GA) in MLS Eastern Conference Week 21 battle from Red Bull Arena in Harrison, New Jersey on Saturday night. Soccer odds makers have made the host Red Bulls -110 favorites here over the visiting Revolution (+275) with the Draw priced at +229 (Ladbrokes). The Total Goals has been set at 2½, with the vigorish priced at -120 for prospective Under bettors and at -111 for Over bettors (Ladbrokes). Some Props wagers for this weekend game: Both Teams To Score: ‘Yes’ -133, ‘No’ +100 (Ladbrokes); Draw No Bet: New York Red Bulls -225, Revolution +162 (bet365); and, To Win To Nil: New York Red Bulls +240, Revolution +600 (bet365).

More Week 21 Soccer Picks: Chicago vs. Seattle ...  NYFC vs. Toronto ... Vancouver vs. KC

New England Revolution
In Week 20 action, the New England Revolution (2-1-7 on Road, 10 GF-21 GA) were thrashed by the upset by FC Dallas, 3-0 on Saturday night in Texas, marking a 4th straight loss in MLS play (FC Dallas 3-0, Vancouver 2-1, Columbus 2-1 and DC United 2-1) and 5th overall (New England lost to the Charlotte Independence, 1-0 in US Open Cup play June 15). But despite all the Horror and 0-0-0-0 points earned over that span in league play, Head Coach Jay Heaps and the Say You Want A Revolution still sit in 2nd-place standing in the East, 1 point ahead of 3rd-place Toronto FC (24-23). But now it’s getting serious for the Revolution (+900 to win MLS Cup, BetVictor) and GK Bobby Shuttleworth. On Offense, New England looks to striker Charlie Davies (7 goals), Juan Agudelo (4 goals), Teal Bunbury (4 goals) and Kelyn Rowe (3 goals) for scoring in its 4-2-3-1 tactical formation although players like Lee Nguyen (2 goal), Diego Fagundez (2 goals), Scott Caldwell (2 goal),  Chris Tierney (1 goal) and London Woodberry can occasionally score a goal or two. And with this game being in the Big Apple metropolitan area and the Revs in in the midst of a 4-game skid, some Offense would be greatly be appreciated.


New York Red Bulls FC
The New York Red Bulls (4-2-2 Home, 10 GF-7 GA) have played relatively low-scoring games at Home here at Red Bull Arena so far this season (2.12 gpg average), but this is a series that really trended toward the Over and seen both sides be able to score in recent meetings (as we’ll talk about below). The Red Bulls (8/1 to win MLS Cup, BetVictor) have 31-year-old Luis Robles in their goal and New York is led on Offense by talented striker Bradley Wright-Phillips (6 goals), Lloyd Sam (4 goals), Anatole Abang (3 goals), forward Mike Grella (4 goals), Sacha Kljestan (2 goals) and Felipe Martins (1 goal). After L4 straight games, New York had W2 before losing 2-1 at Columbus on Saturday night in the Ohio capital and the Red Bulls now sit in 6th place in the Eastern Conference, clinging to one of the conference’s last two playoff spots with 23 points. Here, expect host New York to use the Red Bull Arena advantage and a goal or two from Wright-Phillips to find a way to get a victory, or, at least a Draw against struggling New England. With a Win, the Red Bulls can actually leapfrog the Revolution and into 2nd place—if everything else goes right—so expect a top-notch performance from New York here.


Current Form, Series Trends, Conclusions
This series is pretty even overall in MLS play, with the New York Red Bulls 21-23-28 (112 GF-119 GA) overall in the series and just 10-13-13 (49 GF-53 GA) here against the Revolution. There are some significant relevant recent trends in this series between the Red Bulls (Current Form: LLLLWWL) and Revolution (Current Form: DLWLLLL). The L4 meetings have all gone Over the Total (as have 5 of 6) while the Both Teams To Score (‘Yes’) has hit in those L4 games—(NE 2-1 NYRB, NE 2-2 NYRB, NYRB 1-2 NE, NYRB 2-1 NE)—and in a remarkable 8 of the L9. So keep in mind when preparing your soccer picks that when these two teams play, there are goals usually scored, and with both so tight and the Summer so hot and goals in the air—5 of 6 MLS games on Saturday went Over after 2 Unders on Friday—and we can expect the same again here on Saturday night, with both teams possibly being able to tally by Halftime.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: New York Red Bulls 2 New England Revolution 1

MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER PICKS: Over 2½ -111, Both Teams To Score ‘Yes’ -120 (Ladbrokes)

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