MLS Week 16 Best Value Picks & Betting Odds Analysis

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, June 13, 2017 7:06 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 13, 2017 7:06 PM UTC

FC Dallas were riding high and then the MLS schedule brought them down to reality and on Saturday night in Vancouver, it risks moving down the Western Conference standings some more. Let’s take a modern handicapping look at MLS Week 15 and offer up some picks for our savvy sports gambling SBR website readership.

Seattle Sounders at NYCFC · Yankee Stadium · The Bronx, NY · 1 pm ET

NYCFC play host to the Seattle Sounders at Yankee Stadium in The Bronx on Saturday in this MLS Week 15 lid-lifter and inter-conference game. With NYCFC so good in the Boogie Down Bronx and the Sounders so poor away from the Emerald City, traveling 2,403 miles, playing in a Time Zone 3 hours earlier and without captain Clint Dempsey, Joevin Jones, Roman Torres and possibly Jordan Morris—all away on international World Cup Qualifying duty for their native countries this seems like a pretty decent spot in which to back the hosts. With NYCFC recently expanding into the MLS and these two clubs being in different conferences, they’ve only met twice with the visiting side winning both meetings after leading 1-0 at Halftime. With AMF Nicolás Lodeiro (5 goals), Seattle should be able to score here but expect magician Villa (-137 Anytime Goalscorer, Bet365) to be responsible for two scores for NYCFC (24 points) in a win to keep them close to TFC (29 points) and the Fire (28 points) in the Eastern Conference table. Fear always motivates.

Final Score Prediction: NYCFC 2 Sounders 1MLS Picks: NYCFC -125, Over 2½ -154MLS Props Picks: BTTS “Yes” -162, David Villa Anytime Goalscorer -137Best Lines Offered: at Intertops & Bet365

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DC United at Toronto FC · BMO Field · Toronto, Ontario · 8 pm ET

First-place Toronto FC plays host to 11th-place DC United on Saturday evening at BMO Field in Toronto in a fixture between the first and last place clubs in the Eastern Conference. A look at the L5 meetings in this series reveals the visitors are 3-1-1 with 2 straight Overs and a deeper handicapping dive shows DCU is pretty damn good in Ontario against the Reds, but those were stronger DCU squads and weaker Reds ones. DCU participated in the US Open Lamar Hunt Cup on Tuesday against Baltimore-based amateur club Christos FC—who are sponsored by a local Crab City liquor store, displaying the beautiful grassroots nature of Soccer.

Final Score Prediction: Toronto FC 2 DC United 0Free MLS Pick: Toronto FC -200Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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 FC Dallas at Vancouver Whitecaps · BC Place · Vancouver, BC · 10 pm ET

Vancouver (6-1-6, 18 GF-18 GA) seems to either lose or win this MLS Regular Season, and at BC Place in Vancouver on Saturday night (TSN1, TSN4, MLS LIVE, TXA-21), the 5th-place Whitecaps (4-1-2, 7 GF-11 GA) play host to now 4th-place FC Dallas (6-5-3, 21 GF-13 GA) in a big Western Conference showdown important to both sides. A look at the L5 meetings (DAL 2-0 VAN, VAN 2-0 DAL, DAL 2-0 VAN, VAN 0-0 DAL, VAN 1-0 DAL) reveals nothing but Clean Sheets with the Both Teams To Score Prop (“No”) a perfect 5-0 and the Under 4-1 those L5. With Max Urruti (7 goals), Roland Lamah (4 goals) and FC Dallas (2-2-2, 7 GF-6 GA) average on the Road and the Caps in decent Form (WLWLWW), backing GK David Ousted (pictured), Fredy Montero (5 goals) and the Whitecaps (25/1 to win MLS Cup, Intertops) is the pick here, especially with the Team Formerly Known As The Toros having scored 0 goals in their L4 trips to British Columbia and Ogopogo-ville (DAL 0-0-3, 0 GF-6 GA). Perhaps FC Dallas (9/1 to win MLS Cup, Intertops) is having its boots confiscated in Customs at the border?

 Final Score Prediction: Whitecaps 1 FC Dallas 0MLS Picks: Whitecaps +105, Under 2½ -125Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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