MLS Week 15 Betting Preview: Chicago Hoping to Exact Revenge as Atlanta United FC Come to Town.

Diego Valeri

Wednesday, June 7, 2017 1:31 PM GMT

After a perfect 6-0 week in this little corner of Cyberspace—on the heels of a 5-0 record in UEFA Champions League Final picks—it’s back to the grindstone to try to milk some profits out of the three MLS Week 15 fixtures.

Saturday, June 10, 2017Atlanta United FC at Chicago Fire Soccer Club · Toyota Park · Bridgeview, IL · 4 pm ET

Bastian Schweinsteiger (2 goals) and the now 2nd-place Fire (7-4-3, 23 GF-16 GA) play host to 8th-place Atlanta United FC (5-2-5, 16 GF-18 GA) in the suburbs of the Windy City on Saturday (UniMás, MLS Live, facebook.com [US], Sky Sports 5 HD [UK]) in a big Eastern Conference game for the visitors who will be looking to be the first side to upend the upstart Fire (6-1-0, 17 GF-4 GA at Home) at Home in Bridgeview where they have quietly built an MLS fortress, allowing only 4 opponents’ goals in 7 games heading in behind underrated Uruguayan GK Jorge Bava. With Miguel Almirón (7 goals), Josef Martínez (5 goals), Héctor Villalba (5 goals) and Atlanta United FC (2-3-3, 15 GF-13 GA on Road) just coming into the MLS, this will only be the second meeting and David Accam (7 goals) and the hosts will looking for retribution after a 4-0 pasting in Hotlanta March 18.

So it seems this one may be an up-and-down the pitch affair with the host Fire (12/1 to win MLS Cup, Intertops) in a vengeful mood and playing in games averaging 3.00 gpg at Home and Atlanta United FC (14/1 to win MLS Cup, Intertops) playing in eight Road games averaging a gaudy 3.50 gpg. This will be Atlanta United’s first match at this venue against a club which hasn’t lost at Home with the weather warming. Seems like a great spot for Yugoslavian Striker and MLS Player of the Month Nemanja Nikolic (11 goals) and the Fire and for at least 3 goals be scored.

Final Score Prediction: Fire 3 Atlanta United 1Free MLS Picks: Fire -143, Over 2½ -167MLS Props Pick: Both Teams To Score “Yes” -175

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Montréal Impact at Sporting Kansas City · Children’s Mercy Park · Kansas City, KS · 8 pm ET

Manager Peter Vermes and 1st-place Sporting Kansas City (7-4-4, 19 GF-10 GA) welcome Ignacio Piatti (7 goals) and the 10th-place Montréal Impact (4-4-4, 19 GF-18 GA) to Kansas City, Kansas on Saturday evening (TVAS, MLS LIVE, FOX Sports KC). Dominic Dwyer (5 goals), Gerso Fernandes (5 goals) and SKC are a perfect 6-1-0 (17 GF-2 GA) at Home at Children’s Mercy Park so far this season and is now unbeaten in its L16 at Home after blanking expansion side Minnesota United FC in Week 14 by a 3-0 score with GK Tim Mejia (below) getting his 8th Shutout—a Total and Side we provided for you as part of our sparkly 6-0 weekend. A look at the L5 meetings in this Eastern Conference series (MTL 2-2 SKC, SKC 2-1 MTL, MTL 1-2 SKC, MTL 0-3 SKC, SKC 4-0 MTL) reveals Sporting Kansas City (14/1 to win MLS Cup, Intertops) to be an impressive (4-1-0) (W-D-L), outscoring the Impact (22/1 to win MLS Cup, Intertops) 13-4 in the process. Even with D’s Graham Zusi and Matt Besler away playing for their native US on the USMNT in World Cup Qualifiers, this seems a great spot as no way the hosts let this sagging Canadian side come into their place and win, let alone score? Embrace the simple logic.

Final Score Prediction: Sporting Kansas City 3 Impact 0MLS Pick: Sporting Kansas City -200 MLS Props Pick: Sporting Kansas City -1 +100

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FC Dallas at Portland Timbers · Providence Park · Portland, OR · 10:30 pm ET

Diego Valeri (8 goals) and the 2015 MLS champion-Portland Timbers (6-3-5, 24 GF-21 GA) play host to FC Dallas (6-5-2, 25 GF-11 GA) on Saturday night (MLS Live, KPDX, TXA-21) in a big Western Conference showdown between Fanendo Adi (6 goals), Darlington Nagbe (2 goals) and 4th-place Portland (16/1 to win MLS Cup, Intertops) and 3rd-place FCD (7/1 to win MLS Cup, Bet365). A look at the L5 meetings (DAL 2-2 POR, DAL 3-1 POR, DAL 2-1 POR, POR 1-3 DAL, DAL 2-2 POR) reveals five consecutive Overs with the Both Teams To Score Prop (“Yes”) a glittery 5-0 and Roland Lamah (4 goals) and FC Dallas an unbeaten 3-2-0 while a deeper Soccer handicapping dive shows us the Over is 8-0 L8 and has W11 of 12. And the BTTS (Yes) has W8 straight times. And with FC Dallas’s Lamah feeling strong after scoring the quickest Hat Trick in club history (8’, 22’ 31’) and the hosts needing the Win and having Valeri, Fanendo and Nagbe, among others, this Prop bet is a worthy pick. But can the Timbers (4-2-1, 15 GF-7 GA) snap their unbeaten streak in this series against a confident FCD side coming off a 6-2 Home win against struggling RSL in Week 14? And will Joey Timber be sawing off slabs of log for Portland scores? Possibly and yes. FCD is 2-2-1 on the Road (7 GF-4 GA) and this one could develop slowly, so it’s a matter of Recency (low-scoring FCD Road) versus Past Trends (high-scoring series) in terms of the handicap of the Total (and the perceived Pace) in Rose City where the hosts—coming off a 2-0 Home win in Week 14 against the Earthquakes with Valeri scoring two 2nd Half goals and GK Jake Gleeson registering the Clean Sheet—should play another good game. And with 8 straight Overs in matches averaging 3.875 gpg, the Over seems the best approach.

Final Score Prediction: Timbers 2 FC Dallas 1MLS Pick: Over 2½ -125 MLS Props Pick: Both Teams To Score (Yes) -150

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