MLS Soccer Week 27 Betting Rundown & Top Free Picks

Landon Donovan In LA Galaxy Jersey

Friday, September 9, 2016 3:08 PM GMT

There is a full slate of 10 MLS Regular Season matches this coming weekend including the New York Red Bulls hosting DC United and the LA Galaxy welcoming Kaka and Orlando City to the StubHub Center in Carson, California for the first time ever on Sunday in the Week 27 finale. Let’s try to stay red-hot after an 11-2 weekend in this space here in Week 26—and a 17-3 mark in all MLS, NFL and NCAAF combined—with some fresh Soccer picks for our loyal and intelligent website readers.

Friday, September 9, 2016

Sporting Kansas City vs. Houston Dynamo
Dominic Dwyer (13 goals) and 5th-place Sporting Kansas City (11-5-12, 32 GF-32 GA) plays host to the 10th-place Houston Dynamo (5-10-11, 29 GF-34 GA) on Friday night (MLS Live, KMCI-38, UniMás) at Children’s Mercy Park in Kansas City in a game the hosts need to keep their Playoff footing. The L5 meetings in this Western Conference series show (HOU 2-0 SKC, HOU 1-0 SKC, SKC 1-1 HOU, HOU 4-4 SKC, SKC 1-3 HOU) reveals not much in the way of patterns although the Home sides are unbeaten in the L4 (2-2-0), the Under has W3 straight in this series with just 4 goals having been scored in the L3 meetings and SKC hasn’t scored in the L2 meetings. Although SKC (12/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) hasn’t played as well as it was last year around this time, this team is still very dangerous as the Outrights odds show and SKC is 9-1-4 (23 GF-14 GA) and has allowed an average of just 1.0 gpg here at Home so far this MLS Regular Season. The Dynamo are tied with the Columbus Crew with the least Wins in the MLS (5) and Houston has the longest Soccer odds to win the championship (200/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) and they are still in the race with 25 points and the 6th-place team in the West (Portland Timbers) sitting on 35 points as the season begins to wind down.

 

Final Score Prediction: Sporting Kansas City 1 Dynamo 1
MLS Pick: Under 2½ -125 at Bet365

 

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Saturday, September 10, 2016

Columbus Crew vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Ola Kamara (10 goals) and the Columbus Crew (5-11-10, 35 GF-42 GA) play host to the Vancouver Whitecaps (8-7-13, 34 GF-44 GA), a club which has allowed a co-Conference high 44 goals heading in here. The L5 meetings in this series (VAN 2-2 CLB, CLB 0-1 VAN, VAN 2-1 CLB, CLB 0-1 VAN, VAN 0-1 CLB) reveals the Road team to be a rare 3-1-1 with the Whitecaps also 3-1-1 over this span and two 1-0 Vancouver Wins in the L2 games played here in the Ohio capital. With Pedro Morales (8 goals) and Vancouver (80/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) playing so poorly right now (LLLLDL) and so weak on the Road (3-2-9, 14 GF-28 GA on Road), backing host Columbus (100/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) seems like the best advice in a match which is probably best left alone in the bigger context of the weekend soccer betting board.

 

Final Score Prediction: Crew 2 Whitecaps 1
MLS Pick: Crew -125 at Intertops

 

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Philadelphia Union vs. Montreal Impact
The Montreal Impact (9-10-7, 40 GF-38 GA) will be playing their second match in the L5 days here when they travel to Pennsylvania on Saturday night (MLS Live, The Comcast Network, TVA Sports) to face Chris Pontius (10 goals) and the Union (11-7-10, 47 GF-44 GA) in a big Eastern Conference showdown and meeting between the respective 5th- and 4th-place clubs in the Eastern Conference. A look at the L5 meetings in this series (MTL 5-1 PHI, MTL 1-1 PHI, MTL 0-1 PHI, PHI 2-2 MTL, PHI 2-1 MTL) reveals 3 Overs in the L5 with both games in Philadelphia going Over and averaging 5.0 gpg. Here, Philadelphia (25/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) will have the Site and Energy edges with Ignacio Piatti (14 goals), Didier Drogba (8 goals) and the Impact (20/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) having hosted Orlando City SC on Wednesday, and with Montreal (3-6-4, 16 GF-19 GA on Road) not really needing the points here so far clear from the Redline, a shootout could evolve here with a leg-tired Road team in a tough place at maybe the wrong time with the Union (8-3-3, 29 GF-19 GA at Home) lying in wait.

 

Final Score Prediction: Union 3 Impact 2
MLS Picks: Over 2½ -154, Union -111 at Intertops
MLS Props Pick: Both Teams To Score (Yes) -150 at PaddyPower

 

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New England Revolution vs. NYCFC
Lee Nguyen (5 goals), Juan Agudelo (4 goals), Kai Kamara (4 goals) and the New England Revolution (7-9-12, 31 GF-47 GA) play host to David Villa (17 goals), Frank Lampard and NYCFC (12-8-8, 48 GF-27 GA) on Saturday night (MLS Live, YES, CSN-NE) in a big game for the hosts who sit in 8th place and 2 points off the Playoff cutoff line and 6th place in the Eastern Conference. The L5 meetings in this series (NE 0-1 NYCFC, NYCFC 1-1 NE, NYCFC 1-3 NE, NE 1-0 NYCYC, NYCFC 2-0 NE) shows 4 out of the 5 matches going Under but those were different NYCFC (7/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) clubs than this one which has proven it can win on the Road (6-3-5, 23 GF-23 GA) this season and which could make a run at the MLS title with its nice blend of Designated Players and youth. With the Revolution (100/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) and NYCFC both having allowed the most number of goals in the MLS so far (47), the logical soccer picks here are on the Over, the visitors and the Bot Teams To Score (Yes) Prop.

 

Final Score Prediction: Revolution 1 NYCFC 2
MLS Picks: NYCFC +235, Over 2½ -134 at Intertops
MLS Props Pick: Both Teams To Score (Yes) -162 at Paddy Power

 

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Chicago Fire vs. Toronto FC
The Chicago Fire (6-8-12, 32 GF-40 GA) and David Accam (7 goals) play host to hot Toronto FC (12-7-8, 39 GF-28 GA) in suburban Chicagoland on Saturday night (MLS Live, SN360, CSN Plus) in this Eastern Conference fixture. The L5 meetings reveal (TOR 1-0 CHI, TOR 3-2 CHI, CHI 3-2 TOR, CHI 1-1 TOR, TOR 2-2 CHI) the Both Teams To Score (Yes) going 4-1 and the Home side an unbeaten 3-2-0. Here, Sebastian Giovinco (16 goals), Jozy Altidore (5 goals) and TFC (5-4-6, 19 GF-19 GA on Road) find themselves playing a Fire (5-6-2, 19 GF-14 GA) side actually playing a little better World Football but Toronto FC (7/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) has been in a better groove (WWDWWL) making the visitors worth consideration either on the 3-Way Line (TFC +205, Intertops) or in the niche Draw No Bet marketplace (+147, Marathon) as Chicago (150/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) is probably already thinking about the 2017 MLS Regular Season and TFC looking up at NYCFC and the 2nd-place New York Red Bulls in the Eastern Conference. This one fits the Draw mold but TFC is the better club here.

 

Final Score Prediction: Fire 1 Toronto FC 1
MLS Pick: Union Toronto FC Draw No Bet +147 at Marathon
MLS Props Pick: Both Teams To Score (Yes) -135 at 188Bet

 

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FC Dallas vs. Colorado Rapids
Both FC Dallas (15-6-7, 45 GF-36 GA) and the Colorado Rapids (11-10-5, 28 GF-24 GA) have had really wonderful MLS Regular Seasons, and for both, it seems anything short of a league championship will be a disappointment with the way Colorado (8/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) and FCD (6/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) have played with the Rapids shining primarily through their lockdown Defense in front of GK Tim Howard—now with the USMNT during World Cup 2018 qualifying—and The Team Also Formerly Known As The Dallas Toros playing great both on the attack where 1st-place FCD has a Conference-high 45 goals scored and on D at Home. The L5 meetings in this series (COL 1-1 DAL, COL 1-1 DAL, COL 1-1 DAL, DAL 0-4 COL, COL 0-2 DAL) reveals the L3 matches have been in Commerce City (suburban Denver) and all ended with identical 1-1 scorelines and the Home side a winless 0-3-2. So what happens here? FCD finds a way to win, both to protect their Home unbeaten mark (10-4-0, 30 GF-10 GA), but to also send a message to Colorado and other teams for the Playoffs.

 

Final Score Prediction: FC Dallas 2 Rapids 0
MLS Bets: FC Dallas -154 at Intertops

 

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Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake
The defending MLS champion Portland Timbers (9-8-11, 42 GF-44 GA) welcome Yura Movsisyan (9 goals) and Real Salt Lake (12-7-8, 39 GF-37 GA) to The Rose City and Providence Park in Portland on Saturday night (MLS Live, ROOT Sports NW, KMYU) for this big Western Conference meeting between the respective 6th- and 2nd-place sides in the conference. The L5 meetings (RSL 2-2 POR, POR 2-2 RSL, RSL 0-1 POR, RSL 0-1 POR, POR 0-0 RSL) in this series reveals 3 Draws in 5 matches, two straight 2-2 scores after 3 straight Unders and the Home team a winless 0-3-2 in those five and a deeper handicapping dive shows no Draws between these two in at least their L12 matches combined and that having a world-famous Voodoo Doughnuts donut while in Portland is a wise choice. Friendship. With the Fanendo Adi (12 Goals) and the host Timbers 9-2-3 (31 GF-20 GA at Home) needing the win and the 3 points here and Providence Park providing such a nice Home advantage with Joey Timbers sawing off slabs of a big-ass Log for the screaming throngs, big lean Portland (25/1 to win MLS Cup), Intertops) here over RLS (10/1, to win MLS Cup, Intertops) which is just 4-2-8 (20 GF-28) away from the Beehive State this MLS Regular Season.

 

Final Score Prediction: Timbers 3 Real Salt Lake 1
MLS Pick: Timbers -133 at Intertops
MLS Props Pick: Both Teams To Score -153 (Yes) at William Hill

 

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San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders
The Seattle Sounders (9-4-13, 32 GF-36 GA) head down the Pacific Coast to San Jose—because they know the way—to face the host Earthquakes (7-11-8, 26 GF-29 GA) at Avaya Stadium on Saturday night (MLS Live, CSN-CA, JoeTV) for this big Western Conference match for both sides who sit respectively in 8th- and 7th-place in the conference and both out of the Playoff picture if the MLS Regular Season were to end today. But it doesn’t. The L5 meetings in this underrated series (SEA 2-0 SJ, SJ 1-1 SEA, SEA 0-2 SJ, SEA 2-3 SJ, SEA 1- SJ) shows the Road team to hold a slight 2-2-1 edge with 4 Unders in the 5 matches and Jordan Morris and the Sounders having only lost once (2-2-1) over that span. Here this coming weekend, we can probably expect a tight, low-scoring affair with goals at a premium with World Cup 2018 qualifying still going on and some players playing for their respective national clubs.

 

Final Score Prediction: Earthquakes 1 Sounders 1
MLS Pick: Under 2½ -133 (Intertops)

 

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Sunday, September 11, 2016

New York Red Bulls vs. DC United
Prolific Bradley Wright-Phillips (17 goals) and the New York Red Bulls (12-7-9, 47 GF-25 GA) play host to Lamar Neagle (5 goals), Patrick Mullins (5 goals) and 6th-place DC United (7-11-9, 35 GF-26 GA) on Sunday afternoon (ESPN, MLS Live) in a nationally televised match from Red Bull Arena in Harrison, NJ. The L5 fixtures in this Eastern Conference series (DCU 2-2 RBNY, DCU 2-0 RBNY, RBNY 1-0 DCU, DCU 0-1 RBNY, RBNY 3-0 DCU) shows the Home team to be 3-1-1, the Under 3-2 and Mike Grella and the Red Bulls (7/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops) 3-1-1 against DCU (50/1 to win MLS Cup at Intertops). With the Red Bulls (10-1-2, 27 GF-11 GA) playing so good right now and at Home and DCU so weak on the Road (1-7-5, 10 GF-20 GA), the Home-Road Records do all of the handicapping work we need to be done here. Gracias numerous.

 

Final Score Prediction: Red Bulls 3 DC United 1
MLS Pick: Red Bulls -182 at Intertops
MLS Props Pick: Red Bulls -0.75 Asian Handicap -138 at BetVictor

 

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LA Galaxy vs. Orlando City SC
There is a strong conflict of presumed Pace and potential Final Score here with a recent Trend of low-scoring games being played at the StubHub Center by the host LA Galaxy (LA 2-1 CLB, LA 0-0 VAN, LA 1-1 COL) and the reality that heading into Wednesday night at Montreal, Orlando City (6-13-7, 41 GF-44 GA) had scored in its L15 straight games in all competitions, meaning no pick on a Total here, Panchito, as there were 0 goals scored in the 1st Half of Galaxy Home matches the L2 weeks with the first score of the game in their last outing against the slumping Columbus Crew coming in the 78th minute. Here on Sunday afternoon (FS1, MLS Live) in Carson, California at the StubHub Center, backing the hosts for a small amount seems like the only logical option here in the last fixture of MLS Week 27.

With Orlando SC just expanding into the MLS last season (2015), these two clubs have only played once with Kaká (6 goals), Kevin Molino (9 goals) and Cyle Larin (13 goals) and OCSC trouncing Giovanni dos Santos (10 goals), Robbie Keane (7 goals) and the Galaxy—who are still priced as the oddsmakers favorites to win the MLS Cup at 4/1 to win MLS Cup at Online sportsbook Intertops, which has a 200% Cash Bonus for new Sign-ups and which an A grade in the best sportsbooks ratings here at SBR—4-0 on May 17, 2015, at the Citrus Bowl. So with OCSC playing its second game in the L6 days and having to travel 2,506 miles from sunny Florida (EDT) to sunny California (PDT) and lose 3 Body Clock Hours, the Physical, Mental, Site, Revenge, and Circadian Rhythm edges all go the Galaxy’s way and with that still unbeaten 7-7-0 (24 GF-10 GA) mark at Home, the logical pick here is with the Gyasi Zardes (6 goals), Mike Magee (6 goals) the Bruce Arena coached hosts, even at the fairly pricey current (American odds) price of -187 (1.55 Decimal, 11/20 Fractional). Abrazar la lógica.

 

Final Score Prediction: LA Galaxy 2 Orlando City 1
MLS Pick: Galaxy -187 at Intertops

 

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MLS Rundown Picks Record Last Week 26: 11-2-0
MLS Rundown Picks Record Weeks 18-26: 91-60-6