MLS Soccer Picks for New York Red Bulls vs. Toronto FC

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, August 11, 2015 4:56 PM GMT

Tuesday, Aug. 11, 2015 4:56 PM GMT

With two of the league’s most prolific scorers over the last three seasons in TFC speedster Sebastian Giovinco and Bradley Wright-Phillips. Does that mean  an automatic pick on the Over? 

Odds Overview
Toronto FC at New York Red Bulls (MLS Live, TSN2, RDS2, MSG (USA): 7 p.m. ET/4 p.m. PT)

The 2nd place team in the Eastern Conference, the New York Red Bulls (9-6-6, 33 GF-25 GA) play host to 3rd-place Toronto FC (9-4-9, 37 GF-38 GA) in this Week 24 MLS battle from Red Bull Arena in Harrison, New Jersey on Saturday night. Odds makers have made the host Red Bulls -150 favorites here over visiting TFC (+375) with the Draw priced at +300 (bet365). The Total Goals has been set at 2½, with the vigorish priced at -137 for prospective Over bettors and at +100 for Over bettors (Sky Bet). Some Props wagers for this weekend game: Both Teams To Score: ‘Yes’ -150, ‘No’ +110 (bet365); Draw No Bet: New York Red Bulls -350, Toronto FC +250 (bet365); and, To Win To Nil: New York Red Bulls +210, Toronto FC +850 (Sky Bet).

 

New York Red Bulls FC
The New York Red Bulls (4-3-6 Home, 14 GF-8 GA) have played relatively low-scoring games at home so far this season (1.69 gpg average), but here against high-flying TFC and Giovinco, that average can probably be tossed out the window. The Red Bulls (10/1 to win MLS Cup, BetVictor) feature 31-year-old Luis Robles as its Goalkeeper. RBNY is led on Offense by talented striker Bradley Wright-Phillips (9 goals), Lloyd Sam (6 goals), Mike Grella (5 goals), Sacha Kljestan (4 goals), Anatole Abang (3 goals) and Felipe Martins (1 goal), and this team has surprisingly allowed the least number of goals (25) in the Eastern Conference heading into Week 24 action.

Don't miss the preview for Saturday's Sporting KC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps

Current Form, Series Trends, Conclusions
RBNY is in much better better Form (LWWWD) than TFC (LDWDLW) lately, and the Home site also looks like an edge to the favorites here. Lifetime in this series, the Red Bulls are 11-5-5 lifetime in MLS play (41 GF-24 GA) and RBNY is a dominating 8-1-1 in 10 fixtures (28 GF-7 GA) here at Home against Toronto FC. This is the first meeting this season, surprisingly, but RBNY won 3-1 in this fixture in Week 8 last season after drawing 2-2 with TFC four weeks earlier. Goals, goals, goals. and with TFC having that aforementioned 8-game Over streak over all competitions averaging a robust 4.12 gpg, backing the home team and the over is the soccer pick here.

Predicted Final Score: New York Red Bulls 2 Toronto FC 1
MLS Picks:   Red Bulls -133 (Boylesports), Over 2½ -137 (Sky Bet), Both Teams To Score ‘Yes’ -150 (Sky Bet)

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