MLS Soccer Picks: New England Revolution vs. New York City FC

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, July 14, 2015 2:39 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 14, 2015 2:39 PM UTC

The red-hot NYCFC will face the slumping New England Revolution in this Week 22 MLS contest, and we analyze how this match will fare in order to make our soccer picks.

Odds Overview 
New England Revolution vs. NYCFC (MLS Live, CSN-NE, YES Network (USA): 7:30 p.m. ET/4:30 p.m. PT)
The 2nd-place team in the Eastern Conference, the New England Revolution (6-6-9, 26 GF-33 GA, 26 points) pay a visit to The House That Ruth Built on Saturday night to face NYCFC (5-6-8, 24 GF-27 GA, 21 points) in this Week 22 fixture in the Bronx between Eastern Conference teams which have sort of been heading opposite directions lately. 

Odds makers here have made host New England +100 favorites here over visiting NYCFC (+260 on the soccer odds) with the Draw priced at +250 (bet365). The Total Goals here is has been set at 2½, with Over and the Under both set at -110 (William Hill). Some Props wagers for this weekend game from Gillette Stadium: Both Teams To Score: ‘Yes’ -142, ‘No’ +110 (Ladbrokes); Draw No Bet: New England Revolution -225, NYCFC +162 (bet365); and, To Win To Nil: New England Revolution +600, NYCFC +275 (bet365).


New York City Football Club
First-year MLS club NYCFC (3-2-4 Away, 9 GF-10 GA) is still waiting for former Chelsea FC star midfielder Frank Lampard to join the club after a calf injury delayed his anticipated debut on Sunday at Yankee Stadium against Toronto FC. In that wild affair in the Bronx, there were an MLS-record 4 PKs—as NYCFC earned a Draw with Toronto FC 4-4 in an extremely entertaining game in which TFC star Sebastian Giovinco have a hat trick while Spaniard David Villa (10 goals) scored twice for the hosts. Head Coach Jason Kreis and NYCFC (33/1 to win MLS Cup, BetVictor) has his team playing much better than early in the season, but the American Sky Blues still have awful lapses on Defense and should probably be thought first and foremost as an Over team in the betting markets, especially in the tight Home confines of Yankee Stadium where 8 goals were scored on Sunday. The NYCFC attack goes primarily through the electric Villa, but Tommy McNamara, Patrick Mullins (4 goals), Mehdi Ballouchy (3 goals) and Mix Diskerud (2 goals)—out in Gold Cup play for his native USA—give NYCFC some nice pieces with which to work on Offense and when Lampard joins the Midfield and Andrea Pirlo (Juventus), Kreis will have much magic on his roster and may be able to get this expansion team into the playoff mix and maybe make some noise in the postseason. But the Defense will have to play much. much better than it has to date.


New England Revolution
In Week 22 action, New England Revolution (2-1-7 on Road, 11 GF-22 GA) lost their 5th straight game, getting pasted by the New York Red Bulls, 4-1 on Saturday night in Harrison, New Jersey and now suddenly the Revolution—who were in 2nd place in the Eastern Conference for quite some time—suddenly find themselves in 5th place. Zero points in 5 games will do that to a club. And Defense has been a big problem for Revolution Head Coach Jay Heaps and GK Bobby Shuttleworth who have now allowed the highest number of goals in the conference (33). On the attack, the Revolution (10/1 to win MLS Cup, BetVictor) are led by striker Charlie Davies (7 goals), Juan Agudelo (4 goals), Teal Bunbury (4 goals), Kelyn Rowe (3 goals), Lee Nguyen (1 goal), Chris Tierney (1 goal), Scott Caldwell (1 goal) and London Woodberry, but lately New England’s Offense has been anemic as it’s Defense and this club, which started the season off so hot, is now in real jeopardy of not even making the postseason if they can’t right the ship soon. Holding their own here at Home at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough here against NYCFC will be imperative for this Revolution team.\


Current Form, Series Trends, Conclusions
Because this is the first season playing in MLS for NYCFC, the only meeting between these two clubs took place in Week 1 when NYCFC beat New England, 2-0 here at Home in New York City. With the Revolution playing so bad (Current Form: LWLLLLL) and NYCFC (DWWWLWD) on a nice little roll and getting Lampard on the pitch and signing Juventus legend Pirlo, all the momentum and confidence here will be with NYCFC. Toss in the Home site (Yankee Stadium), and there should be some goals scored here with New England getting desperate and the Defense once again up against a team which is looking to overtake them in the Eastern Conference standings. This soccer pick could very well end in a Draw, although the bonus is on New England to stop its losing skid.

Predicted Final Score: New England Revolution 2 NYCFC 2
MLS Pick: Over 2½ -110 (William Hill), Both Teams To Score ‘Yes’ -142 (Ladbrokes)

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