MLS Betting Week 34 Rundown: Decision Day

Timber's fans at the stadium

Wednesday, October 19, 2016 8:51 PM GMT

Ten matches are set to be played at the same time and the defending champion Portland Timbers, Seattle Sounders, Real Salt Lake and Sporting Kansas City all fighting for the three Playoff spots in the Western Conference with the six qualifying from the Eastern Conference pretty well all sewn up. Let’s micro-handicap all 10 matches, supply soccer picks where desired and try to end the Regular Season with a bang with the MLS Playoffs starting in a week.

 

MLS Picks Record Week 33: 8-5-0
MLS Rundown Picks Record Weeks 18-33: 139-98-8

Sunday, October 23, 2016

 

Colorado Rapids vs. Houston Dynamo

The Dick, 4 p.m. EDT

Maybe the most surprising club in the MLS this season, the Colorado Rapids (15-12-6, 38 GF-31 GA), have dictated low-scoring, Under-type matches with just 25 goals (19 GF-6 GA) scored in an unbeaten Home season (11-5-0) at Dick’s Sporting Good Park in Commerce City. Here on Sunday in MLS Week 34 and Decision Day, the Rapids (57 points) will get their Motivation playing both for the Supporters’ Shield (FC Dallas, 59 points), as well as a perfect Home record, so this seems like a great spot to back Shkëlzen Gashi (8 goals) and Colorado (-200, Intertops). The L5 meetings in this series (HOU 2-3 COL, HOU 3-2 COL, COL 2-1 HOU, HOU 0-0 COL, COL 3 HOU) reveals the Rapids to be 3-1-1 (10-6 goals) with the Over 4-1 and 2-0 the L2 here at The Dick. But this is a unique scheduling and situational spot and expect veteran American GK Tim Howard and the hosts to really be focused, playing for aforementioned things.

 

Final Score Prediction: Rapids 1 Dynamo 0Free MLS Pick: Rapids -200, Under 2½ -118 Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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Sporting Kansas City vs. SJ Earthquakes

Children’s Mercy Park, 4 p.m. ET

Dominic Dwyer (16 goals) and 6th-place Sporting Kansas City (44 points) welcome Chris Wondolowski (12 goals) and the San Jose Earthquakes (8-14-11, 32 GF-38 GA) to the Jayhawk State for a big game for the hosts who can lock down a Playoff spot with a win over the Quakes. The L5 meetings in this Western Conference series (SJ 1-2 SKC, SJ 1-0 SKC, SJ 1-0 SKC, SKC 0-5 SJ, SKC 1-0 SJ) shows the L3 matches have all been played in California with 4 of the L5 results being Clean Sheets—3 of those for Simon Dawkins (5 goals) and San Jose (1-7-8, 14 GF-26 GA), which has just 1 Road win heading into Decision Day. Host Sporting Kansas City (9-3-4, 28 GF-29 GA) knows it just can’t lose in this precarious spot.

 

Final Score Prediction: Sporting KC 2 Earthquakes 1Free MLS Pick: Sporting Kansas City -105 Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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LA Galaxy vs. FC Dallas

StubHub Center, 4 p.m. EDT

A match with both clubs already in MLS Playoffs, with both theoretically being able to chill some, sees Landon Donovan and the 3rd-place LA Galaxy (12-15-6, 54 GF-39 GA) welcoming 1st-place FC Dallas (16-8-8, 48 GF-39 GA) to Lipstick City on Sunday afternoon (FS1 (US), MLS LIVE (CAN) for a Western Conference match important to the visitors if prioritizing winning the Supporters’ Shield. This is a tricky handicap because of that Motivation (best record in MLS) for FCD, who are 5-4-7 (17 GF-28 GA) on the Road heading in here while the Galaxy have just 1 Home loss and this one could end up being extremely boring. This potential Apathy = Under.

 

Final Score Prediction: LA Galaxy 0 FC Dallas 0Free MLS Pick: Under 2½ -111 Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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NE Revolution vs. Montreal Impact

Gillette Stadium, 4 p.m. EDT

Kei Kamara (6 goals), Lee Nguyen (6 goals), Juan Agudelo (6 goals) and the 7th-place New England Revolution (39 points) host Ignacio Piatti (17 goals) and the Montreal Impact in a meaningless match although Math says the Revs have a Playoff shot while Logic says no way, José. Reports say Didier Drogba (10 goals) will be available for the Playoff-bound hosts after some drama with Montreal Head Coach Mauro Biello, but the simple Truth is that the Impact (4-7-5, 18 GF-21 GA) has played much better without the Ivorian legend this Regular Season (Won 53.3% of matches, averaged 1.9 ppg without DP Drogba, won 16.7% of matches, averaged 0.9 ppg without him). So maybe a backup role for Drogba? (We’ve read this book before at Chelsea.) The L5 meetings in this series (MTL 1-3 NE, MTL 3-2 NE, NE 0-1 MTL, MTL 3-0 NE, NE 0-0 MTL) reveals the Impact 3-1-1 with NE (8-4-4, 23 GF-19 GA) winning the last meeting in Quebec a month ago (Sept. 17), 3-1. Too many weird factors to suggest a pick.

 

Final Score Prediction: Revolution 1 Impact 1Free MLS Pick: None

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NYCFC vs. Columbus Crew

Yankee Stadium, 4 p.m. EDT

David Villa (22 goals) and NYCFC (14-9-10 58 GS-56 GA) have clinched already while the Crew sit sadly in 9th place and ready to rebuild for the future. The only 4 meetings in this Eastern Conference series—NYCFC expanded into the league last season—in MLS play (CLB 3-3 NYCFC, CLB 3-2 NYCFC, NYCFC 1-2 CLB, CLB 2-2 NYCFC) reveals 4 Overs and 2 Draws with both sides scoring in all four meetings. Playing in a small stadium built for baseball with Villa and prolific NYCFC on one side and the nothing-to-lose Crew on the other makes the Over (2½), priced at -167 at Online sportsbook Intertops—which has a 200% Cash Bonus for new Sign-ups and which has an A grade in the best sportsbooks ratings here at Sportsbook Review—the prime play here while backing the Frank Lampard (12 goals), Thomas McNamara (5 goals) and the NYCFC side is also a recommended pick here. NYCFC could possibly go over the Total itself. Trust.

 

Final Score Prediction: NYCFC 3 Crew 1Free MLS Picks: NYCFC -182, Over 2½ 167 Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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Orlando City SC vs. DC United

Camping World Stadium, 4 p.m. EDT

Cyle Larin (14 goals), Kevin Molino (10 goals) and Orlando City SC (8-14-11, 51 GF-58 GA) are done while 4th-place DC United (11-13-9, 48 GF-42 GA, 43 points) qualified for the Playoffs last Sunday, so this is another match in which Motivation will be hard to judge. The lone 4 meetings in this series—Orlando (5-7-4, 27 GF-26 GA at Home) just expanded into the Major League Soccer last season—(DCU 4-1 ORL, ORL 1-0 DCU, DCU 2-1 ORL, ORL 0-1 DCU) reveals DC United to be 3-0-1 with the Home side winning thrice. There are better bets.

 

Final Score Prediction: OCSC 1 DC United 2Free MLS Pick: None

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Philadelphia Union vs. NY Red Bulls

Talen Energy Center, 4 p.m. EDT

The 6th-place Philadelphia Union (11-9-13, 52 GS-53 GA) play host to Bradley Wright-Phillips (23 goals) and the talented New York Red Bulls (14-9-9, 56 GF-42 GA) in suburban Philadelphia on Sunday afternoon (MLS LIVE, The Comcast Network, MSG) as the Road club looks to extend its unbeaten string to 16 matches. The L5 meetings in this series (RBNY 3-2 PHI, PHI 2-2 RBNY, RBNY 4-1 PHI, PHI 1-3 RBNY, RBNY 0-2 PHI) reveals the Red Bulls to be 3-1-1 with the Both Teams To Score (Yes) prop bet having W4 straight and the Over also W4 in a row in this Eastern Conference series, averaging 4.50 gpg. And the Union have scored in all of those matches, so with some theoretical 6th-place Pressure at play, the nervousness from Philadelphia (8-4-4, 30 GF-22 GA) should create Pace, meaning, goals, goals, goals Elvis.

 

Final Score Prediction: Union 2 Red Bulls 2Free MLS Pick: Over 2½ -143 Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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Seattle Sounders vs. Real Salt Lake

CenturyLink Field, 4 p.m. EDT

Theoretically the most important game on Decision Day with two Western Conference clubs fighting to stay alive, Jordan Morris (12 goals) and the 5th-place Seattle Sounders (45 points) host 4th-place Real Salt Lake (46 points) on Sunday (ESPN (US), MLS LIVE (CAN)) in a game which may have huge implications and/or see both making the Postseason, depending probably on the portland Timbers ability to win a Road game at the neediest time. The L5 meetings in this series (SEA 2-1 RSL, RSL 2-1 SEA, SEA 3-1 RSL, RSL 2-0 SEA, SEA 3-2 RSL) shows the Home club a perfect 5-0, outscoring the visitors, 11-5, so, Seattle seems to have the handicapping edge here. Nicolás Lodeiro (4 goals) and the Sounders, who are without leader and icon Clint Dempsey (8 goals) who is out for the season with an Irregular Heartbeat and D Chad Marshall (4 goals) left injured in Week 33 but Seattle (13-6-14, 42 GF-42 GA) has earned 13 of 18 points down this homestretch and has a huge Home-pitch edge in the Emerald City, while Real Salt Lake come in on a 6-match Winless Streak. Goals and quality attempts on target should be really scarce in this one despite the Sounders need to get a point or three.

 

Final Score Prediction: Sounders 1 Real Salt Lake 0Free MLS Pick: Under 2½ -111 Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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Toronto FC vs. Chicago Fire

BMO Field 4 p.m. EDT

Another meaningless Eastern Conference Decision Day match on Sunday afternoon sees David Accam (9 goals), Razvan Cocis? (5 goals) and the 10th-place Chicago Fire (7-9-16, 40 GF-55 GA) heading north of the border to face Sebastian Giovinco (16 goals), Jozy Altidore (10 goals) and host and 3rd-place Toronto FC (13-11-9, 48 GF-47 GA). The L5 meetings in this series (CHI 1-2 TOR, TOR 1-0 CHI, TOR 3-2 CHI, CHI 3-2 TOR, CHI 1-1 TOR) shows the Both Teams To Score (Yes) prop 4-1 with Toronto going 3-1-1 over that span. The Fire (1-2-13, 14 GF-34 GA on Road) have had the worst Record in the league for most of the Regular Season and will finish with the worst mark in MLS after having the worst Record last season in 2015 (8-6-20, 30 points).

 

Final Score Prediction: Toronto FC 3 Fire 1MLS Pick: Toronto FC -222 Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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Vancouver Whitecaps vs. Portland Timbers

BC Place, 4 p.m. EDT

Fanendo Adi (16 goals), Diego Valeri (12 goals) and the defending MLS champion and 7th-place Portland Timbers (12-8-13, 47 GF-49 GA) head to British Columbia on Sunday afternoon (MLS LIVE, ROOT Sports NW (US), TSN1 (CAN)) to face the host and 9th-place Vancouver Whitecaps (9-9-16, 41 GS-51 GA) in a must-win situation for the Timbers (0-6-10, 12 GF-28 GA on Road) who are still looking for their first Win away from Rose City. The L5 meetings in this series (POR 4-2 VAN, VAN 2-1 POR, VAN 0-2 POR, POR 0-0 VAN, POR 1-1 VAN) reveals 2 straight Overs after 3 consecutive Unders, and with Desperation running rampant with Portland in these 90 minutes, the Pace should be fast. But can the Timbers, who will be without the services of MF Diego Chará and CB Liam Ridgewell (Yellow Card Accumulation) and who will have played a CONCACAF Champions League match midweek against Costa Rican side Saprissa, score on GK David Ousted on Decision Day? Maybe once.

 

Final Score Prediction: Whitecaps 1 Timbers 1Free MLS Pick: Under 2½ +105 Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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