Day 1 of the Wimbledon Championships is underway and we bring you our favorite tennis picks from the men's front, including Grigor Dimitrov , Kevin Anderson & Stan Wawrinka.
Grigor Dimitrov -3300 vs. Federico Delbonis +1400
Grigor Dimitrov, a semi-finalist last year at the Wimbledon Championships, opens his campaign against Federico Delbonis of Argentina, who ranks at No.73 in the world. This is the first-ever meeting between the pair, but odds makers corner the match firmly in the Bulgarian's camp for obvious reasons. Dimitrov has the considerable ranking edge over Delbonis as the World No.11, as well as his healthy 19-12 record on the season (no titles though).
That's said, if there's a facet open to criticism, a seasonal mark that belies his absurd -3300 tennis odds to win his opener over Delbonis, it's his 3-2 record at the grand slams this season. Fact is Dimitrov hasn't impressed at the majors. At the Aussie Open he reached the R16 but with a lot of effort against players that he should be beating more convincingly. After topping No.90 Dustin Brown in straight sets, No.99 Lukas Lacko pushed Dimitrov to four sets (R64) while No.78 Marcos Baghdatis (R32) took the Bulgarian the distance. In the R16, Dimitrov went out to Murray in four sets. Most recently, Dimitrov was dumped in the R128 of the French Open in straight sets by No.37 Jack Sock.
Another aspect that takes the shine off his price tag is lack of proper grass court preparation. Well, it didn't go according to plan when he lost to Gilles Muller in the second round of the Aegon Championships, an event he entered as the defending champion.
All these things could give Federico Delbonis some room for optimism. Dimitrov is clearly not in-form at the moment, which could allow Delbonis to perhaps take a set off the Bulgarian and make it a more competitive affair than the odds makers suggest. Delbonis to win the first set is priced at +600 while the OVER 3.5 in two-way set betting is priced at +275.
Delbonis isn't a grass-court player by trade. He's a clay specialist with just an 11-10 mark on the season (no titles). He's yet to win a match at the majors this season (0-2) and boasts just one career ATP title. But he's coming off a win at a Challenger event (to improve his ranking) and he also beat Stanislas Wawrinka at the Geneva Open quarterfinals, a few weeks before the Swiss No.2 won the French Open. Knowing he can go toe-to-toe with a top player is going to be pivotal to his chances against Dimitrov, if not to win the match entirely, then to make a fist of it.
Tennis Betting Verdict: Dimitrov should win this match, but it could be tougher than the odds makers suggest. So take Dimitrov to win 3-1 or 3-2 at +333 or +1200 tennis odds and the OVER 3.5 at +275 at Bet365
Tennis Picks: Dimitrov to win in four or five sets
Lucas Pouille +1400 vs. Kevin Anderson -3300
Kevin Anderson enters Wimbledon Betting markets as a player to spot in his respective draw following a runner-up finish to Andy Murray at Queen's Club. The South African will have confidence and form as impetus behind a solid campaign. While he may not be a likely choice in tennis betting circles to win the tournament outright, trading at +10000 to win outright. There are those tennis bettors that would give him a reasonable shot to shake things up in the first quarter. Frenchman Lucas Pouille presents a winnable match for the South African. Pouille takes a 5-7 mark into Wimbledon, which includes three-match losing streak (back-to-back losing streak on grass) since reaching the second round in Nice last month.
Tennis Betting Verdict: Anderson is definitely the smart tennis pick, but there's better value to be had in a betting on a straight set win at -400 than the straight up win in match betting markets at -3300.
Stan Wawrinka -1400 vs. Joao Sousa +800
French Open champion Stanislas Wawrinka had his Wimbledon preparations cut short with an untimely exit at Queen's Club a fortnight ago when he lost in the second round to Kevin Anderson. He opens his campaign against Joao Sousa, the world No 46 from Portugal. Wawrinka has the 2-0 edge over Sousa, having beaten him at the 2014 Wimbledon Championships in straight sets in the first round and 7-6 (1), 7-5 at the Madrid Masters this season. On paper, this is a winnable match for Wawrinka.
However, there are those tennis bettors that give Sousa a shot to make this a competitive affair after he really took it to Wawrinka in Madrid and only lost by a handful of points. He was the runner-up in Geneva. He has some deep runs at several tournaments this season, as well as some good wins under his belts. Expecting him to beat Wawrinka may be a stretch at +800 tennis odds, but he could take a set off the French Open champion.
Tennis Betting Verdict: Wawrinka should win this match, but he can blow hot and cold from time to time. A lot depends on whether he's suffering any hangovers post French Open. Sousa is a good player that could make it a lot more interesting, so we're backing him to take a set off Wawrinka at least.
Tennis Picks: Wawrinka to win 3-1 at +275 and Over 3.5 at +150