Tuesday's round of French Open betting serves up quarterfinal matchups in the bottom half of the men's draw. Join us as we preview Tsonga vs. Nishikori and an All-Swiss clash for our tennis picks.
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga vs. Kei Nishikori
When we previewed the French Open draw we identified the top three tennis picks in the third quarter as Nisikori, Berdych and Tsonga. Clearly, we were headed in the right direction, save for picking Berdych to win the quarter. Can't win them all.
In any event, the quarter is set to be decided by two of our top three picks and we're fine with that. Tsonga (matched at +1400 to win the quarter) enters this clash as the decided underdog at +275 to win outright even though he's going to have the home advantage. Nishikori was from the start the odds makers' favorite to win this section at +125, so understandably he enters this clash as the tennis betting favorite on the French Open odds board at -350 to win outright.
The Japanese's favorable tennis odds are underscored by a 4-1 head-to-head record that includes winning two on the trot. Although all five meetings were on hard courts, Nishikori has the only win at a Grand Slam between these two which was a five set affair at the 2012 Australian Open 2-6, 6-2, 6-1, 3-6, 6-3. Obviously, that clash is three years old and a lot has changed for both players.
Nishikori has established himself at the top of the game mainly. He's a complete player, an all surface player and a real obstacle for Tsonga in his pursuit to fly the French flag. Based on current form and results in recent weeks Nishikori should win and we give him the edge on our tennis picks. However, we concede Tsonga does have the intangible edge: home court advantage. The crowd will be behind him and that could be the catalyst to take him into the semi-finals. It remains to be seen whether he can keep it together though. He's been in similar such situations, the weight of a nation's expectations on his shoulders only to fall well short of the mark.
Tennis Picks: Nishikori to win at -350; in four sets +275 or five sets at +550
Stan Wawrinka +175 vs. Roger Federer -225
The All-Swiss clash between Stanislas Wawrinka and Roger Federer is set to take to court Suzanne-Lenglen on Tuesday, a spot in the semi-finals on the line. One thing is certain, a Swiss will be in the last four when all is said and done. The question is which one?
On the heels of the draw release, this was the matchup that most tennis betting experts wanted and odds makers projected; Federer was the +100 tennis pick to win the quarter while Wawrinka was the second favorite at +225 tennis odds. So it's down to this pair to decide this quarter and, in turn, take a spot in the semi-finals.
If the head-to-head were any indication, Federer is the smart tennis pick to win outright. He has the 16-2 head-to-head edge over his compatriot, which includes winning three on the trot. The last win Wawrinka enjoyed over Federer was in the Monte Carlo Final in 2014, which marked his first Masters title. Since the three set win (4-6, 7-6 (5), 6-2) in Monte Carlo, Federer beat Wawrinka in the 2014 Wimbledon quarters, the semis of the ATP Tour Finals and the 2015 Rome Masters semis, the latter of which was in the lead up to the 2015 French Open and, you could say, the most representative of what we could potentially expect in their highly anticipated meeting.
As it is, Federer enters as the -225 favorite to win outright while Wawrinka is the +175 underdog to win outright. This has the potential to be a stellar clash that could go the distance. After all, Wawrinka recently underscored his credentials with a win over Nadal in the Rome Masters quarters.
To be fair, Wawrinka's wins over Federer have come on this surface only. But he's never beaten his compatriot at a Grand Slam in four attempts. Twice they met at Roland Garros with Federer winning in straights. In fact, in those four meetings Federer only dropped one set. For whatever reason, Wawrinka hasn't brought his 'A' game against the maestro at a major. He certainly will have to if he hopes to mastermind the upset. For our tennis picks, we're going with the sentimental option and taking Roger Federer to win in three or four sets.
Tennis Picks: Federer -250 to win; and in four sets at +300