The men’s quarterfinals start on Wednesday and it’s a must-see bill of fare for tennis enthusiasts as Kei Nishikori and Stan Wawrinka collide early in the day followed by Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray, two spots in the semis on the line.
Stanislas Wawrinka -200 vs. Kei Nishikori +150
Tennis Betting Analysis
Kei Nishikori reaches his first-ever US Open quarterfinals behind a sensational five-set marathon win over Milos Raonic that went into the wee hours of the morning, tying the record for the latest match finish at 2:26 AM . The Japanese star rose to the occasion despite needing treatment for a foot injury midway through the match, showing match toughness previously unheard of in his case. He’s had less time to recover for his quarterfinal match than his Swiss opposite who beat Tommy Robredo earlier that day, and was comfortably tucked into bed well before Nishikori left court. It remains to be seen how much of an edge that gives Stanislas Wawrinka over Kei Nishickori and how much gas the Japanese star has left in the tank.
In reaching the quarterfinals, you could say Stanislas Wawrinka is enjoying a good run at the US Open. His matches have been scrappy affairs however, not entirely convincing. Still, he’s reached the final eight and his confidence must be growing in proportion to his run. Going for Wawrinka is also a 2-0 head-to-head edge over Nishikori, albeit having beaten the Japanese twice in 2012. Two years is a long time and a lot has changed for both players – Nishikori is steadily rising in the ranks, proving his worth as a young gun on the move. Wawrinka has finally broken into the Grand Slam champions circle by winning the Australian Open at the start of the season.
Tennis Betting Verdict
The tennis betting line is appropriate on this match with Wawrinka the favourite at -200 and Nishikori at +150. Wawrinka presents the most likely tennis pick in this matchup because he’ll be the fresher player and has more experience as well as a positive head-to-head edge. The pressure is going to be on Wawrinka however to deliver on his favourable odds, and this year the burden of expectations has proven to get to him. He tends to lose focus in matches, so if you are looking to back him a four set or five set affair is quite possible at +300 or +500, respectively.
Nishikori is a tempting underdog at +150 to win outright. He is a very talented player and after defying the odds to beat Raonic in a five-set marathon he should be even more confident than he was before. Nishikori didn’t play warm-up events so technically he shouldn’t be gassed. The late finish on Tuesday night and early start to their match today however is a definite disadvantage.
Tennis Free Picks: Wawrinka to win outright at -200 and in four sets at +300
Novak Djokovic -350 vs. Andy Murray +175
Tennis Betting Analysis
Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray face off for the 21st time in their careers for a spot in the US Open semis. As things currently stand, Djokovic owns the 12-8 head-to-head edge over Murray, which includes a 1-0 edge over the No.1 Brit in 2014 as well when Djokovic beat him in Miami in straight sets. At the time, Murray wasn’t 100% fit or match ready, coming off back surgery at the end of last year. He’s been slowly working his way towards top form since then and those that have paid close attention to Murray will have noticed positive signs and gradual improvement. He’s not far off from his “Big Four” form now, this match serving as the perfect litmus test of where he’s truly at with his game. Djokovic is in top form. Despite waffling through the US Open Series this summer, he’s worked his way into match fitness as he navigated a straightforward course into the quarters. That he didn’t have a successful US Open series could also work in his favour because he’s fresh and well rested, plenty left in the tank for a player of Murray’s ilk. The last time the pair met at the US Open, it was in the 2012 final which Murray won 7-6(10), 7-5, 2-6, 3-6, 6-2, marking his maiden Grand Slam victory.
Tennis Betting Verdict
In terms of outright win bets, there’s value on both sides of the coin. There are no secrets between these two players, so well they know each other. The head-to-head record alone reveals just how well matched the pair is. Indeed, this match could go either way, but most tennis bettors are leaning toward towards Djokovic on their tennis picks.He’s the more confident player at the moment, on-form and fit. So those looking to back Djokovic should look beyond his outright win odds of -350 for more tempting bets, such as to win in straight sets at +120 or four sets at +250.
The top Brit is not without a chance in this match. On the contrary, he could be saving his best for such a moment and nobody could claim to be shocked if he does rise to the occasion given their history and track record. Happily, Murray’s +175 odds on the outright win are tempting as they are; he’s good value on those odds. To win in straight sets is mighty tempting at +1000 as well, but it does seem rather unlikely that he would blank Djokovic. So if you are looking to bank on Murray in set betting, the best options presents itself in four sets at +850 or five sets at +800.
Tennis Free Picks: Murray to win in five sets