Where are the best bets to be had in both the women’s and men’s draw at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics? We review the event after the first few rounds and serve up updated tennis odds along with some discerning thoughts
Osaka Ousted, Field Bursts Wide Open
Naomi Osaka entered the 2021 Tokyo Olympics as the player to beat according to multiple sports betting websites, despite enjoying a topsy-turvy WTA season highlighted in recent months by private struggles that forced her to pull out of the French Open and withdraw subsequently from Wimbledon. Alas, her sojourn at her home Olympics was short-lived, abruptly ending in the third round against Marketa Vondrousova of the Czech Republic.
Osaka’s upset on day four of the Tokyo Olympics sent seismic shockwaves through the tournament and tennis betting markets while busting the field further wide open. It marked yet another top player and seed on the women’s front crashing out of the tournament prematurely.
World number one and Wimbledon champion Ashleigh Barty of Australia lost in the opening round to Spain’s Sara Sorribes Tormo while third seed Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus also made an early exit, losing to Croatia’s Donna Vekic in the second round. On the same day of Osaka’s untimely demise, the tournament also lost fifth seed Karolina Pliskova of the Czech Republic as she lost her third-round match to Italy’s Camila Giorgi.
As the race for gold at the Tokyo Olympics enters the quarterfinals, Garbine Muguruza of Spain emerges as the best bet to spot, priced at +210 with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review). Muguruza’s favorable tennis odds are underscored by her grand slam winning credentials – she’s the only WTA player still alive in the tournament that’s a proven multiple grand slam champion. Next up for Muguruza is Elena Rybakina of Kazakhstan, which is a matchup that is tipped in the Spanish woman’s corner. Colour the tennis betting world shocked if Muguruza stumbles at this hurdle.
Elina Svitolina of Ukraine is the top-ranked player left in the draw, but the world number six is yet to win a major title. At the Rio Olympics, Svitolina was knocked out of the quarterfinals. Next up for Svitolina is Giorgi who pulled off the big upset against Pliskova in the previous round. Svitolina is currently priced as a tasty +700 bet to win gold as per BetOnline.
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, meanwhile, is a dangerous floater in the tournament and potentially a bet to spot in the medal hunt. The Russian recently reached her first-ever Grand Slam final – the 2021 French Open. Although she lost to Barbora Krejcikova in Paris, the experience might serve her well in Tokyo.
Without a doubt, she comes into the event in good form. If there’s one thing that might take the shine off of her tennis odds, it’s the fact that she’s drawn into the same half of the draw as Muguruza. Before she can look ahead to a potential matchup against Muguruza, she must contend with Belinda Bencic of Switzerland. Bencic is a tough nut to crack, so Pavlyuchenkova will have her work cut out to advance into the semis.
Finally, Marketa Vondrousova, who upset the face of the Olympics when she beat Osaka, is an outside bet to consider for Olympic glory. The Czech was a French Open finalist in 2020, so she has some big game experience under her belt. Moreover, she’s in the bottom half of the draw which is now considered the lighter of the two draws in terms of tennis clout and that’s something that Vondrousova could capitalize on.
Tennis Women’s Singles Winner
- Garbine Muguruza +210
- Paula Badosa +450
- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova +500
- Elena Rybakina +550
- Elina Svitolina +700
- Marketa Vondrousova +800
- Belinda Bencic +1000
- Camila Giorgi +1200
Djokovic Charges On
World number one Novak Djokovic is the prohibitive fave to win the gold medal at the Tokyo Olympics, tipped in minus money across most top-rated sportsbooks since day one of the events. The question in the men’s game isn’t whether Djokovic can pull off the feat but rather whether any other player in the field can deny the Serbian from winning the coveted gold medal. What he unabashedly views as his rightful claim in Tokyo that will only serve to further cement his legacy as one of the greats in the sport.
Djokovic took one step closer to winning gold when he beat Jan-Lennard Struff of Germany in straight sets on day four of the tournament to book his place in the R16. Next up for Djokovic, who is currently priced at -200 in Olympic Futures odds, is Spain’s Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina. If the match odds were any indication, it should be a cakewalk for the Serbian starlet on route to the quarterfinals. The world would tip off its axis if the Spaniard were to orchestrate an upset here.
Where things could get tricky for Djokovic is in the quarters and/or semis. The Serbian starlet is on a collision course with Japan’s Kei Nishikori in the last eight and then potentially with Germany’s Alexander Zverev in the semis – that is, should the draw pan out and the seeds deliver on expectations.
Zverev has had a standout season and enters Tokyo on solid form, underscoring his credentials as a veritable contender priced at +800 with BetOnline. Of the pair, Zverev’s chances are rated better than Nishikori’s because the Japanese star has struggled in recent years. Having said that one can’t underestimate the unparalleled motivation that playing at home can give a player, even though he comes into his country’s Summer Olympics as a longshot bet priced at +3300.
In the bottom-half of the draw, Russia’s Daniil Mevedev is tipped as the top bet to reach the final and the best bet to give Djokovic a run for his money in the bid for gold. However, Medvedev’s third round match features Italy’s Fabio Fognini, a wily opponent at the best of times and one that’s not averse to pulling off an upset from time to time.
Greece’s Stefanos Tsitsipas is also contained within the bottom-half of the draw and looms large as the +450 bet to win gold. Tsitsipas is enjoying a banner season, capped off by reaching his first-ever grand slam final – the 2021 French Open. Although Tsitsipas ultimately lost to Djokovic, he did give the Serbian a run for his money in a five-set marathon. Hence, arguably, a final showdown between Tsitsipas and Djokovic in Tokyo might well be the best finale to emerge and the one that many tennis betting fans would back with enthusiasm.
Tennis Men’s Singles Winner
- Novak Djokovic -200
- Daniil Medvedev +375
- Stefanos Tsitsipas +450
- Alexander Zverev +800
- Kei Nishikori +3300
- Pablo Carreno-Busta +3300
- Karen Khachanov +4000
- Diego Schwartzman +6600
- Ugo Humbert +8000
- Fabio Fognini +10000
- Ilya Ivashka +12500
- Jeremy Chardy +12500
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina +15000
- Dominik Koepfer +15000
- Nikoloz Basilashvili +15000
- Liam Broady +25000
*Odds courtesy of BetOnline.