Teams Targeting Playoff Berths Worth a Shot in MLS Matchups

Tuesday, October 16, 2018 3:13 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 16, 2018 3:13 PM UTC

The MLS season is down to its last two weeks, and for clubs such as the Seattle Sounders, DC United and Real Salt Lake, wins are still desperately needed with only six clubs in each conference making the playoffs.

<p dir="ltr" style="text-align:right"><strong><em>Kevin's MLS picks record last week: 3-0-0</em></strong><br /><strong><em>Kevin's MLS picks record the last two weeks : 7-0-0</em></strong></p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/soccer-betting/" title="Soccer Betting Forum">MLS: Matchday 34 Lookahead</a></h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/major-league-soccer/orlando-city-sc-vs-seattle-sounders-3411433/odds/" title="Game Odds">Seattle Sounders (15-5-11) at Orlando City SC (7-4-20)</a></h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Wednesday, 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+)</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Free MLS Pick: Sounders ML</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4527&amp;book=Pinnacle" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Pinnacle</a></h2><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3411433, "sportsbooksIds":[238,93,1096,180,1275], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p dir="ltr">With the Sounders (14/1 to win MLS Cup, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4522&amp;book=Intertops" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Intertops</a>) motivated and needing the win, this seems like a great spot and price to back the defending league runners-up, with Dominic Dwyer (11 goals) and host Orlando City SC still in the throes of a nasty slump, going winless in its last 11 games and being blanked 5 straight (SKC, CHI, HOU, FCD, NE).</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">OCSC outscored 28-13 L11 matches (0-2-9, W-D-L)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">OCSC has been shut out 5 straight matches (0 GF/9 GA)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">OCSC last win was on July 14; haven’t scored a goal since September 1</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">OCSC 70 GA most is the most in MLS heading into Matchweek 34</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr">With OCSC (DLLDLL) expanding into the MLS in 2015, these two clubs have met only three times (SEA 1-1 ORL, ORL 1-3 SEA, SEA 4-0 ORL) with the Lions still winless (0-1-2) and having just scored 2 goals in the three meetings to Seattle’s 8.</p><p dir="ltr">Although there will be the travel (3,074 miles) and time-change (3 hours lost going from PT to ET) issues to consider, the need to win, Seattle’s track record in recent autumns and the form of OCSC all point to backing the visitors in a big way.</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">SOUNDERS 12-2-2 L14 (31 GF/12 GA); W2 straight (8 GF/1 GA)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">SOUNDERS have allowed just 12 goals in L14 matches (0.86 gpg)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">SOUNDERS have been in L2 MLS Cups, both vs. TFC (won 2016, lost 2017)</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr">Also, GK Stefan Frei, Nicolás Lodeiro (8 goals), Will Bruin (7 goals), Raúl Ruidíaz (7 goals) and the 5th-place Sounders (WWLLWW) will be very well-rested (9 days), having last played on Oct. 7. My silver spaceship quickly leaves for the sportsbook after publishing and <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/" title="Free Sports Picks">this honestly seems like one of the best MLS bets of the season</a>, even with icon Clint Dempsey having called it a career.</p><p dir="ltr"><strong>PREDICTED FINAL SCORE:</strong> Seattle 3, Orlando City SC 0</p><p dir="ltr"><img height="132" src="https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/6ygmaYm2HfT1gVdqRvvvH5SQaLQAg6sDBaxGpo-zi_g1uMnRVQCdiZb8tiXbVff_lgm38GPL62yD20rjJHT3o2EYw-QxXktsEY0BcZDD7aQgwsWtvhZVzLevrCWGUK319vn9YBSh" width="573" /></p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/major-league-soccer/dc-united-vs-toronto-fc-3411431/odds/" title="Game Odds">Toronto FC (9-6-16) at DC United (12-8-11)</a></h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Wednesday, 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+)</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Free MLS Pick: DC United ML</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4525&amp;book=JustBet" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">JustBet</a></h2><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3411431, "sportsbooksIds":[1275,1096,180,238,93], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p dir="ltr">Former Manchester United imp Wayne Rooney (9 goals) and DC United (44 points) host defending MLS champion Toronto FC in what seems like another nice spot to back the rolling hosts with the Reds out of the picture and attacker Jozy Altidore (7 goals) recently hinting that his days in Canada and maybe the MLS <a href="http://www.espn.com/soccer/soccer-transfers/story/3661785/toronto-fc-forward-jozy-altidore-hints-at-possible-exit-from-mls-cup-holders">may be coming to an end</a>. So, one team — the team kicking balls at its new home — really cares, while the other team — on the road on foreign soil — doesn’t. Caring matters.</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">DCU unbeaten L7 overall (5-2-0, 17 GF/7 GA)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">DCU 11-2-2 at home</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">DCU has allowed 2 goals only once since September (9/16: DCU 3-3 RBNY)</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr">A look at the L5 meetings (TFC 4-4 DCU, DCU 1-3 TFC, TFC 2-0 DCU,TFC 1-2 DCU, TFC 4-1 DCU) shows head coach Ben Olsen, GK Bill Hamid and the surging Black-and-Red (25/1 to win MLS Cup) to be a woeful 1-1-3 vs. Toronto, being outscored 11-8 in the process. But a deeper introspect reveals that those numbers were carved when Sebastian Giovinco (12 goals) and Altidore were really buzzing and when TFC (LLWLWL) cared and when DCU (56 GF/49 GA) was completing its new stadium, without a centerpiece DP star such as Rooney.</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">TFC 2-4-9 on road (1 road goal L3 games)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">TFC hasn’t scored a road goal since Aug. 18th (59th minute at SJ)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">TFC 2-0-4 L6 road, shut out 2 straight (RBNY 2-0 TFC, PORT 2-0 TFC)</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr">This DC United team (DWDWWW) has momentum, a new pitch, a great coach and scorers such as Darren Mattocks (10 goals), Luciano Acosta (9 goals), Yamil Asad (9 goals) and Rooney, but, sitting in 6th place in the Eastern Conference with 44 points — just 1 point ahead of the 7th-place Montréal Impact (43) — ”the fear” may be the biggest element in this handicap and pick and a reason the guys that bet <a href="https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/soccer/">soccer</a> on a <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TTCXBRCyku8">Monday morning</a> are slowly moving the line up (to as high as -160 offshore, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4519&amp;book=BOVADA" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Bovada</a>) for this midweek affair from the DMV.</p><p dir="ltr"><strong>PREDICTED FINAL SCORE:</strong> DC United 2, Toronto FC 1</p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/major-league-soccer/real-salt-lake-vs-new-england-revolution-3411429/odds/" title="Game Odds">New England Revolution (9-11-12) at Real Salt Lake (13-7-12)</a></h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Thursday, 9 p.m. ET (ESPN+)</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Free MLS Picks: Real Salt Lake ML; Under 3½ -113</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Best Lines Offered: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4527&amp;book=Pinnacle" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Pinnacle</a>; <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4518&amp;book=Bookmaker" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Bookmaker</a></h2><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3411429, "sportsbooksIds":[238,93,1096,180,1275], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p dir="ltr">Fighting for their postseason lives in 6th place just 1 point ahead of the LA Galaxy (45 points), Real Salt Lake (46 points) needs a “W” and all 3 points here and Herr Schedülemacher — he’s German — has obliged the hosts with Cristian Penilla (12 goals), Teal Bunbury (11 goals), Diego Fagundez (8 goals) and the New England Revolution heading to suburban Salt Lake City to play in a fixture that will start at 9 p.m. (and end around 11 p.m.) in their Eastern Time Zone body clocks.</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">REVOLUTION 1-2-6 L9 road games (7 GF/15 GA)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">REVOLUTION 2-6-8 on road; last road win was Sept. 5 at NYCFC (1-0)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">REVOLUTION last road game scoring 2 or more goals was Aug. 4 (OCSC 3-3 NE)</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr">Looking at the L5 meetings in this interconference series (NE 4-0 RSL, RSL 0-0 NE, NE 4-0 RSL, RSL 2-1 NE, NE 1-2 RSL), we see the two teams both 2-1-2 with at least 3 goals scored in 4 of the 5 meetings. But with RSL (40/1 to win MLS Cup) needing this one so bad, expect an extremely focused effort from the hosts from the start.</p><p dir="ltr"><img height="436" src="https://lh4.googleusercontent.com/t8xKdRRGNDcSvR5TZHC_sTXx0D1xdxM3Spq4EMHN88s5NGMk64GohHi08JcNEExsO-n6z0iNrtBnGqdeDNa2PIW7VWKqiIbGkv7ZYjPklpyAHAd7Y79pyFrzAMRrp9VgnQ5mfrob" width="484" /></p><p dir="ltr">And with this being the last regular-season home fixture at Rio Tinto and Damir Kreilach (11 goals), Albert Rusnák (10 goals), Joao Plata (8 goals) and the hosts needing the victory in the worst way, expect RSL (WWDLDL) to find a way to get that crucial first, and maybe the only goal against the Revs (WDDLLW) in what may be chilly conditions (low 38°, clear, east winds around 5 mph) and also maybe a <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/major-league-soccer/" title="Live MLS Odds">good spot to back the "under"</a> in the totals market with most offshore sportsbooks setting it at a lofty 3½.</p><p dir="ltr"><strong>PREDICTED FINAL SCORE:</strong> Real Salt Lake 1, New England 0</p>
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