Man Utd vs. Swansea: Pick Red Devils -162 To Bounce Back Over Swans

Kevin Stott

Monday, December 28, 2015 7:23 PM UTC

Monday, Dec. 28, 2015 7:23 PM UTC

Week 20 of the English Premier League approaches and we are ready to break down the soccer odds for the Manchester United vs. Swansea City. Join us as we choose the best soccer picks.

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Predicted Final Score: Manchester United 1 - Swansea City 0
EPL Soccer Picks: Under 2½ -133, Manchester United -162
Best Line Offered: at Bovada


Swansea City has brought in new interim Manager Alan Curtis to try to keep the Swans up in the English Premier League and Andre Ayew and the visitors should have their hands full on Saturday at Old Trafford in this Matchday 20 game with an angry Manchester United side which had lost 4 straight in all competitions heading into EPL Week 19 action on Monday. So, here we have two clubs very desperate for a Win and desperate to find some goal scorers on their high-paid Rosters. With GKs David De Gea and Lukasz Fabianski, both teams struggling to find goals and Winter now in the Northern Hemisphere, playing this match Under 2½ seems like the most logical approach, but are there any other marketplaces where a nice soccer picks or two may lie? Let’s take a look.


Odds Overview
Manchester United vs. Swansea City [Saturday 15:00] (NBC Sports Live Extra (US); SKY México (CRI); 10 a.m. EST/7 a.m. PST): Wayne Rooney and struggling Manchester United (8-5-5, 22 GF-16 GA into Matchday 19) welcome Welsh side Swansea City (4-6-8, 16 GF-24 GA) to Old Trafford on Saturday for this Matchday 20 English Premier League fixture from Greater Manchester. Soccer odds here have host Manchester United -162 favorites here over Swansea City (+500) with the Draw priced at +250 (Bet365) while the Total (Goals) in this contest set at 2½ with the Under at -133 and the Over juiced at +105 (Bet365). Some Props wagers for this EPL match from The Theater of Dreams: Both Teams To Score: ‘Yes’ -137, ‘No’ +110 (PaddyPower); To Win To Nil: Manchester United +137, Swansea City +900 (Ladbrokes); and, Draw No Bet: Manchester United -600, Norwich City +400 (Bet365).


Swansea City AFC 
Swansea City (1-2-5 on Road, 7 GF-12 GA into Matchday 19, Monday vs. Crystal Palace) and new Manager Alan Curtis may have a fight on their hands to stay up in the Premier League this season, but a Boxing Day 1-0 victory over West Bromwich Albion and the 3 points gave the new Swans interim Manager his first Win with the club despite a pretty poor effort. Swansea City is 1-1-1 under Curtis, who replaced Gary Monk, but will have to play better to avoid life near the Relegation Zone this second half and the team looks far removed from the Swansea City (10,000/1 to win EPL, Ladbrokes) side on which Wilfried Bony (now with Manchester City) played on just two seasons ago and which set a club record number of points (56) with an 8th-place finish. The Swans have a good GK in Lukasz Fabianski and a pretty decent Defense with Angel Rangel, Federico Fernandez, Ashley Williams and Neil Taylor, and the Swans had only allowed 24 goals in their first 18 games so you can see a big part of the problem this season has been the ability to score goals. Swansea City Midfielders Leon Britton, Ki Sung-Yueng, Wayne Routledge, Gylfi Sigurðsson and Jefferson Montero all are very skilled, and Ghanaian Striker Andre Ayew can be a threat but with just 1 Road Win as we start the 2nd Half of the English Premier League season, this team will concentrate on trying to hang on to Top Flight English Football and most agree Curtis may be the perfect guy to reach that end for Swansea City (+400 to be Relegated, William Hill).


Manchester United FC
Manchester United (4-3-1 Home, 10 GF-3 GA) and GK De Gea finally lost one at Home at Old Trafford as, after allowing just 1 goal there, Norwich City defeated the Red Devils who have now L4 straight (in all competitions for the first time since 1961. And Manchester United hasn’t actually won a game since Nov. 21 (at Watford, 2-1), so rumor Manager Louis Van Gaal is on the proverbial Hot Seat to be fired (-4100, Next Manager to Leave Post, Sky Bet), have to be more than just rumors at this point in Time (look at those astronomical odds!) and Monday’s Matchday 20 meeting with fellow frustrated Big Club, Chelsea could be a bad day for the Dutchman and his trusty Notebook. But Manchester United players—outside of GK David De Gea, French teen sensation Anthony Martial, Juan Mata and some other select few—haven’t exactly played inspired football this season despite the 5th place (Sunday) standing in the league table and guys like Wayne Rooney, Marouane Fellaini, new-signees Memphis Depay and Bastian Schweinsteiger have seemed to have trouble jelling as a unit, much like the club did under Manager David Moyes last season. The Red Devils, who will be playing Danish champions FC Midtjylland in the Round of 16 of the UEFA Europa League tournament after being eliminated from the UEFA Champions League Knockout Phase—can still definitely win the Premier League (22/1 to win EPL, Boylesports) but will need to wake up very quickly. And like every other team with a shot, the Red Devils are lucky this has been such a quirky and wide-open season.


Series Trends, Potential Match-Type and Best Betting Approaches
Manchester United is 7-2-4 (18 GF-12 GA) overall against Swansea City in English Premier League play and an impressive 5-0-1 (10 GF-4 GA) here at Home at Old Trafford against the Swans. However, 3 of the lifetime 4 Losses the Red Devils have suffered to Swansea City have come in the L3 games—all 2-1 Swans Wins (the L2 in Wales, the previous on Matchday 1 last season here at Old Trafford). So, any Momentum or Confidence or sense of Series Domination Manager Louis van Gaal’s team has had in the Past has completely evaporated in the Present. In those days, MUFC would have been priced a -400 favorite and up here, but as you can see by the (low) price in Three-Way Marketplace (Manchester United -162, Stan James), the Red Devils are suspect in the eyes now of Fans, Pundits, Oddsmakers and Sports bettors alike which must mean this is probably LvG’s last season in Cherry Red Mancunia. Here, we can probably expect many near-misses, and whereas Oddsmakers have been making Totals in United games at 2, you can see here with the 2½ a more wide-open game is expected but with these two GKs, the colder Winter Weather, both teams struggling for goals and that extra ½ forcing 3 goals to beat Under players, the Under 2½ with the modest vigorish is the call (Under 5-3 at Old Trafford) along with the hosts who may have to rely on Ashley Young or Ander Herrera or Jesse Lingard or someone one else to try to get them on the scoreboard. The Red Devils know that the Swans have beaten them three straight times and even with Swansea City feeling a bit better now that it’s risen out of the Relegation Zone, this Swans club has seemed stuck in the mud all season and after a meeting with Chelsea for Manchester United to end the 1st Half of the EPL season on Monday (NBCSN, 12:30 p.m. EST/9:30 a.m. PST), a date with Swansea City could be a nice way to ring in 2016 for the struggling Red Devils.

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