Man City vs. PSG Expected To Create An Upstir w/ Draw In Champions League

Bernardo Baltazar

Tuesday, April 12, 2016 11:20 AM GMT

Tuesday, Apr. 12, 2016 11:20 AM GMT

Even though both team are millionaires with world class players on their teams, Manchester City is surprisingly for the first time on this stage of the UEFA Champions League. Soccer picks inside. 

Manchester City vs. Paris St Germain  
As we predicted on the 1st leg, City was able to score a goal in Paris and brought a very positive result to Manchester. Pellegrini’s team took good advantage of their quick transitions, with Kevin De Bruyne scoring a goal after a counter attack play. The other goal was a gift from PSG’s defensive, but both teams gave goals to their opponent if we think about Zlatan Ibrahimovic’s goal after a huge miss from Fernando.

Both managers are aware that at this stage of the season, it’s extremely important to give as maximum time as possible for their players to recover. Due to that, both teams spared important players on their last domestic game yet, PSG was able to save much more since they are already French champions with all their starting line-up resting this weekend.

Although being considered injured on their last game for the Premier League, David Silva should return to Manchester City team on this match while Yaya Touré should also jump to the starting XI after playing 30 minutes this weekend against West Bromwich. Touré should be crucial on the midfield due to his physical condition to dispute the plays and carry the ball, but also on free kicks and corners where the French team is very strong.

After being surprised at home in a game where they had the upper hand in the majority of it, PSG needs to win this match or draw by at least two goals for force an extra time, which means that if they don’t score at least one goal on this trip to England they’ll leave the competition.

 

Betting Overview
On the Moneyline market, we expected to see the home team as favorite or at least with the same price as PSG due to City’s quality at Etihad Stadium. But we understand that the Sportsbooks took in consideration PSG’s experience on this competition and we agree with that. Besides the French team higher experience at this level and as we referred, their players should be fresher to this match after not playing this weekend.

Looking now to the goals market, we believe this is clearly overpriced with the Over 2.5 paying around -167 which is extremely low in our opinion. We believe that price allows us to bet on the Under 3.00 @-112 12bet with good value.
Both teams should approach this game with caution, PSG should look to score a goal knowing that a 1-0 result is enough for them and they should defend if they get it while City knows that the 0-0 suits them and there’s no need to take extra risks.

The goal scorers are always appealing on this big games where the top players usually show their quality. On the 1st leg we selected Zlatan and Agueto to score and on this 2nd leg we’ll stick with a small bet on the Swedish to play at any time @+120 on the soccer odds boards

On a game where City doesn’t need to win to qualify, we expect a positive result for PSG by just one goal difference or at least a tie with few goals, which would put PSG out of the competition. This doubt makes us avoid the qualify market since the 1-1 is a very likely result and takes out all the value for Laurent Blanc team to qualify.

Therefore, we’ll split our stake on the team that needs the result, the most experienced and also the one who was able to rest their players.

Under 3.00 @-112 gives us some safety with tonight's soccer picks. PSG Draw No Bet will be our main bets for this decisive match.

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Free Soccer Pick:  PSG draw no bet or Under 3.00
Best Line Offered: at Bodog

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