Look to Paraguay Draw No Bet Option at 11/4 to Stun Struggling Brazil: Copa America Picks

Lee Phelps

Thursday, June 25, 2015 12:48 PM GMT

Thursday, Jun. 25, 2015 12:48 PM GMT

Brazil's troubles aren't over yet according to William Hill's Lee Phelps as he is looking at some good odds for his free betting pick in this Copa America quarter-final.

The latest incarnation of everyone’s favorite second team is more like anti-Brazil, low on goals, defensively minded and generally poor. They face an organised if functional Paraguay team who may just be able to spring a surprise.

 

Brazil
The main highlight of Brazil’s Copa America journey so far has been Neymar and he’s gone home after picking up a ban for his sending off against Colombia, so they’re even less dangerous than they were when they looked lacklustre edging past Peru and Venezuela.

It’s not all doom and gloom for Dunga and Co, they have won nine out of 10 since losing 7-1 to Germany in the World Cup semi-final. They came to Chile looking confident, but as we saw last summer that confidence is brittle.

 

Paraguay
Ramon Diaz’s side have a fantastic record against Brazil, winning four and drawing two of their last 11 and they have won two and drawn two of their last five.

Add to that the fact they were runners-up in the 2011 Copa America and the fact they came from two nil down to draw with Argentina and you start to get the picture. We are not dealing with mugs here, no-one has beaten them in Chile yet.

Their other results saw a 1-0 win against Jamaica and a 1-1 draw with Uruguay. This team is built on discipline and they know how to frustrate a team like Brazil.

 

Soccer Picks
The head-to-head shows an average of over 2.5 over the last 11 matches, but I don’t see that this time. Brazil, without Neymar, will struggle to score and Paraguay are hardly free-scoring.

I’m not touching the goals though. I’m playing the outsiders here. Now, if you aren’t that brave the draw no bet option is interesting at 3.75 (11/4). As I’ve explained they have a good record and won’t be overawed.

Dunga’s side was supposed to be about defence, but Brazil have let in a goal a game so far and I see this continuing with a 1-0 win to Paraguay.

Free Soccer Pick: Paraguay Draw No Bet: 3.75 (11/4) at WilliamHill

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