La Liga Tips & Predictions: Real Madrid vs. Sevilla

Mike Richardson

Wednesday, February 6, 2013 6:57 PM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 6, 2013 6:57 PM UTC

If you’re mad enough to think that you can take more excitement than the EPL has to offer check out this tidy little sports betting money spinner over in Spain. It’s Sevilla, away to Real Madrid this coming Saturday.

Real Madrid are out of the running for the La Liga title, they’re now 99/1 compared to Barcelona who are 1/41 with the sportsbooks but they can still give you a nice little earner. Something that’s very welcome if last weekend’s EPL picks let you down so badly (and your wife made you sleep on the sofa).

Enough with the trouble and strife…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

First off let’s have a swift look at current form, it makes sobering reading for the current La Liga champions as Sevilla won their last match while Madrid lost. But the La Liga odds makers still fancy a Madrid win at 1/3, while a draw is at 4/1 and an away win is at 7/1.

Sevilla went and won their fourth consecutive home game with their 2-1 victory over Rayo at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan last Sunday afternoon. The home side bossed the early proceedings, taking the lead just before the break. However just five minutes after the break, Fernando Navarro pulled down Alejandro Dominguez and the Argentine dusted himself off to convert the penalty and tie the game. It was a short lived draw as Alvaro Negredo restored Sellilla’s lead only three minutes later.

Check out my Premier League Weekend Tips & Predictions as well.

A weekend of two halves

It was a very different tale for Real Madrid whole went down 1-0 against Granada, thanks to a Ronaldo own goal. The Portugal international “scored” in his own net midway through the first half giving the Liga champions their fifth defeat of the season.

If you must add misery to Real back a 1-0 win to Sevilla at 30/1 or even a 1-1 draw at 10/1, but don’t use paper money for that bet! Mrs Richardson was kind enough to remind me that the Andalusians have lost seven of their last eight meetings with Madrid and their last win at the Bernabeu was a 4-3 victory way back in in December 2008. For the record a repeat of that score is available at 250/1.


Looking back

The last meeting between these two sides was back in September and (would you believe it) ended 1-0 to Sevilla (that’s one of Madrid’s five defeats this term). That win was hugely unlikely as Los Rojiblancos had lost their last seven games with Madrid in all competitions. And Sevilla hadn’t beaten Real Madrid at home in La Liga since October 2009 (that game ended 2-1. Something offered up with the sportsbooks at 25/1). Just to reiterate how unlikely that result was back in September, Real Madrid had scored 12 goals in their last two visits to the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan. And Cristiano Ronaldo had netted eight in his last three run outs against Sevilla.

More likely is the result from the last time this fixture was played.

Last season this fixture ended 3-0 to Madrid, and that can be added to your La Liga picks at 7/1. I feel that the visitors will get a little something form this game, but they won’t get any points.

La Liga Tips & Predictions: Madrid win 3-1, available at 10/1 with Ladbrokes.

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