La Liga Soccer Picks: Sevilla's Defense Won't Stop Los Blancos' Offensive

SBR Staff

Wednesday, November 4, 2015 3:13 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 4, 2015 3:13 PM UTC

Which side will Sevilla turn up? The one that beat Barcelona or the one that lost against Atletico Madrid when facing Real Madrid on Sunday? Find out our predictions and a free soccer pick inside.


Sevilla vs. Real Madrid
Real Madrid have started the season in imperious form and sit top of the table, ahead of arch rivals Barcelona on goal difference. They will go into this match full of confidence, having won three on the bounce, scoring nine and conceding just twice in the process. But they face tough opponents in Sevilla and this is likely to be a tight game.
Sevilla have demonstrated what a strong side they are by winning the Europa League for the past two seasons running and finishing fifth in La Liga last season. They really raised eyebrows last month, when they secured a famous 2-1 victory at home to the mighty Barcelona with goals from Michael Krohn-Dehli and Vicente Iborra. With star players Kevin Gameiro and Grzegorz Krychowiak in excellent form, they were tipped as dark horses for the title. But since then, they have won just one of their last four games, having slipped to a 2-1 defeat to Villareal in their last game, and they find themselves lingering in mid-table anonymity, wedged between match and Sporting Gijon in 10th. They lie 12 points behind Real and will never make up the gap. The best they can do now is push the likes of Celta Vigo for a spot in the top four, but first they need to stamp out the wildly inconsistent form that has dogged their season.
The outcome of the upcoming match depends largely on which Sevilla side turns up – the one that beat Barcelona and destroyed Getafe 5-0 on 24 October, or the one that has lost to Villareal, Las Palmas, Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid already this season. Expect them to raise their game for the visit of Real Madrid, but to fall short.


Odds Overview
Real will have analysed the Sevilla vs. Barcelona game and will know they cannot afford to take their opponents lightly. They are the away side, so they will be able to sit back, keep things tight in defence and then hit Sevilla with the rapid and devastating breaks that have become their hallmark in recent years. Los Blancos have won their last two games 3-1. You can get soccer odds such as +1300 with Bet Victor for a repeat of that scoreline against Sevilla, and that looks to be a good bet. Real are not the most convincing in defence, and often concede, but they have such riches going forward that they generally manage to overwhelm opponents in the end. Bet365 is offering -200 for both teams to score, and that looks a shrewd bet. Bet365 is also offering -117.65 on Real Madrid to win, which is a good price considering the form Real Madrid have shown recently. Cristiano Ronaldo has been virtually unplayable up front and Karim Benzema has also been banging in crucial goals. They have yet to lose all season under new manager Rafa Benitez, and they are unlikely to start here.
An alternative to backing Real to win would be spreading your bets over a few correct score. At Bet Victor you can get +1300 on the aforementioned 3-1 to Real, +850 on a 2-1 victory for Real and +850 on a 1-1 draw. This seems sensible as it should be a tight game that sees both teams score, and you would expect Real to eventually prove to be a bit too strong for a Sevilla side that is still in transition after losing several key players in the summer and bolstering the ranks with newcomers still trying to gel with one another. The best price you can get on over 1.5 goals is -600 with Coral, so the bookmakers clearly feel there will be goals in this game. Factor this in when choosing correct score soccer picks.  

Free Soccer Pick: Real Madrid -110

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