La Liga Soccer Picks: Levante vs. Athletic Bilbao

Mike Richardson

Thursday, April 3, 2014 6:11 PM UTC

Thursday, Apr. 3, 2014 6:11 PM UTC

The gain in Spain falls mainly on your Humble Handicapper and when Levante take on Athletic Bilbao next Monday your Humble Handicapper expects to be drenched.

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It’s 4th in the table versus 10th and while neither of these sides will be in any danger of being relegated or winning the league this term that’s no reason not to take some cash off bookie bob come the final whistle.

The basis have Athletic Bilbao winning at 11/10 while the draw is at 12/5 and a Levante win is at 12/5.

Soccer Picks: La Liga Betting Futures

Enough with the basics…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?
Levante really need this game to go their way as they are on a four game losing streak. That’s three defeats and one draw in their last four, the game before that was a comfortable 2-0 win over Osasuna way back on the 1st of March.

What's more in those four bad results Levante have been outscored by the opposition seven goals to one. That would average out at something like 2-0 to Athletic Bilbao, something offered up by the sportsbooks at the best soccer odds of 19/2.

If you think that the bookies know what they’re talking about it gets even worse for Levante.

Looking at the ½ time full time soccer odds it’s all about Bilbao. The bookies have them winning both halves at 9/4, then a draw on the 45 and Athletic Bilbao taking it on the 90 at 17/4, and then as if it’s at all likely the game being drawn across both halves at 4/1.

The shortest odds on Levante winning any half, is them winning both halves but that’s at 6/1. If you’re going to back Levant to win (but you shouldn’t be) back them winning both halves too.

Bilbao may have only won one of their last five games, but they have three draws in that mix too and have only been outscored 4-4 in that run, which isn’t being outscored at all.

Bilbao have had two 1-1 draws in recent history and that score is offered up at best soccer odds of, 6/1 with the sportsbooks.

Athletic Bilbao won the last meeting between these two sides back in November but the three previous meetings all went Levante’s way. In fact looking at the last five meetings between these two sides it’s 3-2 to Levante (and that means no draws in that run). That may make you rush out and whack some cash on a Levante win for your soccer picks, especially as they outscored Bilbao 8-3 in that run, BUT…

I fear that Bilbao’s poor run of form can’t last forever, and Levante are just the sort of team that they’ll come good against.

Soccer Prediction: Bilbao win 2-1 available at best soccer odds of 15/2 with bet365.

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