La Liga Soccer Picks: Bet Barcelona & 'Under' Against Real Madrid

Bernardo Baltazar

Thursday, March 31, 2016 8:31 PM GMT

Barcelona hosts Real Madrid this weekend and if there is still something to decide in La Liga, this match will solve it once and for all!

With just eight rounds left and with Barcelona leading with more than 10 points over Real Madrid, is hard to see the Blaugrana team missing this lead, especially due to their current awesome shape.

This is not an ordinary match because most of the players spent the last two weeks with their International teams, which affects the preparation for this match with lack of training sessions in the past days. On the other side, playing this game motivates any player and there’s the guarantee of a big clash at full intensity.

MSN vs BBC is by far the biggest contest in Europe, with everyone expecting a high-scoring affair in a match that counts with so many talented players. The sportsbooks also predict that and they covered the Over 2.50 with a very low average odd of -278.

Barcelona are currently in great shape and in our opinion, they are also the main contenders for the Champions League title. That fact makes them the obvious favorite for this game but is also true that they don’t necessarily need to win this game, since the championship is completely under control.

Barcelona should use their usual ball possession strategy while Real Madrid will try to surprise them with quick transitions. Both teams know that losing this match might affect their confidence and morale for the midweek games and in Real Madrid case, they need to win not only to reduce distance to Barcelona, but also because they are fighting with Atletico Madrid for the second place.

Cristiano Ronaldo will try to carry his good shape to this match, looking to revenge their 4nil loss at home against Barcelona. This is a great opportunity for Real Madrid to show that they can beat the best team in the world, especially on their own stadium.

 

Betting Overview 
Besides the few time to prepare this match due to the international games and Barcelona’s comfortable position on the table, it’s also important to keep in mind that both teams play for UCL in the midweek – Barcelona hosts Atletico while Real Madrid travels to Germany to face Wolfsburg.

These factors makes us believe that the sportsbooks are over pricing the probability of goals on this match, which gives us some value to play the under 3.5 @+101 Pinnacle on this match or the safer Under 3.75 @-124 soccer odds also at Pinnacle.

The winners market is also very tricky to call at this price but at home, Barcelona has the quality to win this, especially on a game where they will be very relaxed and their ball possession throughout the 90 minutes will exhaust their opponents, which makes us believe they will kill the game on the last half hour of the game.

As we made reference, their ML is not so tempting due to the current odds, so a combined approach is our recommendation, with the Barcelona to win & Under 4.5 goals @+142 Redbet as a value bet that is covered with a 2 – 1 and even a 3 – 1 FT.

Looking to the anytime goal scorers, Ronaldo odd reaches the @+150 on some sportsbooks like Unibet and due to his successful past against the Blaugrana, especially at Camp Nou, we have to say that this is a valuable one for soccer picks and clearly deserves a shot on a game that we expect to end with a 2 -1 result for the home team.

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Free Soccer Pick: Under 3.75 Goals -124 & Barcelona & Under 4.5 goals +142
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle & at Redbet respectively