La Liga Picks: Multiple Ways to Play Big Monsters Real Madrid vs. Granada

Kevin Stott

Monday, September 14, 2015 12:55 PM GMT

So, what’s the best approach here in a game where the Three-Way line is pretty much off limits. Being precise and creative we give out the best betting approach.

Odds Overview
Real Madrid vs.Granada, Saturday 10:00ET (beIN Sports USA, beIN Sports en Español, beIN SPORTS CONNECT, FuboTV (US); Sky Sports 3/HD, NOW TV, Sky GO Extra, Sky Go UK (UK), 10 a.m. ET/7 a.m. PT): Second-place Real Madrid (2-1-0, 11 GF-0 GA) plays host to 9th-place Granada (1-0-2, 4 GF-7 GA) at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid on Saturday in this Spanish Primera División Matchday 4 fixture in which the host may be a little tired after their Tuesday UEFA Champions League Group Stage opener against Shakhtar Donetsk (ESPN Deportes, 2:45 p.m. ET/11:45 a.m. PT). But at least both matches are at the Bernabéu. Real Madrid are the obvious, massive -1,600 favorites (bet365) here in the Three-Way soccer odds (Winner) marketplace with the guests Granada priced as big +2000 underdogs and the Draw at +1200. The Total Goals in this match varies and will probably bet be most in the 4- to 5½ goals range; at 4½, the Under is -150 and the Over is +125 (BetVictor). The Both Teams To Score Prop odds have the ‘Yes’ priced at +162 and the ‘No’ at -225 (bet365), which shouts at the prospective bettor that this should be a Real Madrid clean sheet. And with 0 Goals allowed heading in and the game in the Spanish capital, one can see why the oddsmakers don’t think Granada will be able to score here. Some other props: To Win To Nil: Real Madrid -187, Granada +12, 500 (Sky Bet); and, Asian Handicap: Real Madrid - 2.75 -200; Real Madrid -3 -160; Real Madrid -3.25 -117; Real Madrid -3.5 +100; Real Madrid -3.75 +120 (bet365).

 

Granada CF
In its last game on Sunday in La Liga Matchday 3 play at the Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada (0-0-2 Away, 2 GF-6 GA) lost 3-1 to to Villarreal as GK Andrés Fernández made two big, early mistakes leading to Villarreal goals. Here against Real Madrid on the road, there will be little, if any room for error from Fernández and his Defense as Los Blancos have scored 5 and 6 goals in their L2 games and have historically rolled over El Nazaríes in this series in La Liga play. For Granada, Rubin Rochino (1 goal), Success Isaac (1 goal), Fran Rico (1 goal) and Youssef El Arabi (1 goal) have accounted for the club’s 4 goals, but, as mentioned, Ronaldo scored 5 himself in Real Madrid’s last outing—3 in 20 minutes—so, this will be challenging with the hosts dominating possession and the visitors getting maybe 3-4 good looks on goal all match. Granada and Manager José Ramón Sandoval and his side have little chance at either a win or a draw here, and the final scoreline is the only mystery surrounding this game, even if the hosts are a little tired from a Tuesday UEFA Champions League affair.

 

Real Madrid CF
Real Madrid (1-0-0 Home, 5 GF-0 GA) didn’t too much shuffling in the Summer Transfer market, so it will be the same usual suspects trying to provide the scoring for Los Blancos this season. As mentioned, Cristiano Ronaldo exploded for 5 goals (and an Assist) in Saturday’s 6-0 dismantling of Espanyol on the road, and, with rumors of a sale to Arsenal an amusing memory, striker Karim Benzema (2 goals) is still the Big Cat in the middle for Los Blancos and always a threat to score. Toss in Gareth Bale (2 goals, 3 assists), James Rodriguez (2 goals), Luka Modric, Isco, Jesé, Toni Kroos, Sergio Ramos, Marcelo and Pepe, and you can see that first-year Manager Rafael Benítez inherited a Roster built for both La Liga and Champions League play. GK Keylor Navas (4 Saves) and the Real Madrid Defense haven’t allowed a goal yet this young season, although the young Costa Rican and his teammates certainly haven’t been tested as much as they will this coming season. After blanking both Betis (5-0) and Espanyol (6-0), this game should be another cakewalk for Real Madrid with CR7 probably shooting for another hat trick.

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Best Betting Approaches and Series Trends
As one would expect, Real Madrid has completely dominated this series, going 28-8-6 (104 GF-42 GA) against Granada in La Liga play and 19-9-2 (65 GF-26 GA) overall against them here at home at the Santiago Bernabéu, Real Madrid is a dominating 18-2-1 (71 GF-18 GA). The last time these two clubs met here was last season in Week 20 where Real Madrid actually won 9-1 after jumping out to a 4-0 Halftime comfort zone. So, 9-1. You read it right. Even though Los Blancos will have played in that aforementioned Champions League game Tuesday—a Real Madrid-Real Madrid parlay señor?—the travel is no issue. And with that reality and this match being played at Bernabéu Stadium, expect Real Madrid and Navas to register another Clean Sheet win here with Ronaldo and Benzema and Rodriguez and Modric all possibly scoring. The best soccer pick here is to get heavier (1 unit) on Real Madrid -3.5 +100 and a little lighter (½ unit) on the Over 4½ +125 and Real Madrid to Win To Nil prop bet here (half-unit each) to protect from pain if either the game ends with 4 goals or less or Granada somehow scores.

Predicted Final Score: Real Madrid 5 Granada 0

Free Soccer Pick: Real Madrid -3.5 +100 & Over 4½ +125 & Real Madrid To Win -187 at Bet365.

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