Kyung Ho Kang vs Brandon Davis: UFC 241 Fight Predictions and Picks


Kyung Ho Kang Vs Brandon Davis

Free UFC Pick: Brandon Davis + 157

Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

Record: 19-8

29-year-old Brandon “Killer B’ Davis has had a really rough road since he came into the UFC last year. In just 1 year he has had 5 UFC fights against a really stiff level of competition. Davis entered the UFC off of Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series Season 1 and fought Kyle Bochniak in January of 2018. Similar to most other UFC debutants Davis struggled with the step up in competition and lost his first-ever UFC fight. He rebounded against Steven Peterson but then lost back to back fights against Enrique Barzola and Zabit Magomedsharipov who are both very well rounded fighters from good camps and both are currently streaking in the UFC. When you think about a fighter’s stock rising even though they lost these are the kinds of fights you would point to. After attempting to face Zabit on short notice he rebounded against Randy Costa winning in spectacular fashion after a real barn burner of a fight. He really showed his durability and will to never give up which is a quality I always look for in an underdog.

Davis is 5’10 with a 72′ reach and has a high output of 5.03 significant strikes per minute. He is 10-5 and only has a 57% takedown defense rate, but this is a stat that I don’t actually put much stock into. When you watch him fight he makes his opponents work incredibly hard for takedowns and his 2 losses to Zabit and Barzola account for 80% of the takedowns he has given up in the UFC. Barzola attempts over 5 takedowns per 15 minutes and lands 47% of them and Zabit attempts 6.23 per 15 with a 59% success rate. Both fighters are high-level chain wrestlers and you will be hard-pressed to find anybody who stops them from getting their fights to the ground. Outside of those two fights Davis has been very impressive and has a great offense output forcing his opponents to stand and strike with him.

Kyung Ho Kang’s record is 15-8 and he stands at 5’9. He will have a 1-inch reach advantage in this fight and he has been fighting in the UFC since 2013, and took several years off due to his country’s mandated military service and is just starting to get his career back on track. Prior to his departure in 2014 he faced a relatively low level of competition and since returning to action in 2018 Mr. Perfect has impressed but has still faced mostly low-level competition. His return was a dominant win over Guido Cannetti, but Cannetti is a .500 UFC fighter. Kang submitted the well known Teruto Ishihara, but Ishihara is 1-5 in his last 6! The best competitor that Kang has faced was Ricardo Ramos who is a respectable opponent, but that fight was a striking battle between two fighters who are primarily ground specialists.

Of Kang’s 15 wins he has 11 wins by submission for a 73% rate. What we’ve seen is when Kang cannot get the fight to the ground and finish it he tends to struggle on the feet. He averages only 2.59 significant strikes per minute with a 42% accuracy which compared to Davis is a relatively low output. Kang absorbs 2.08 significant strikes per minute which means his opponents are landing almost as much as he is when the fights take place on the feet. Kang has a 75% takedown defense rate but Davis attempts 0.20 takedowns per 15 minutes, which basically means he doesn’t attempt takedowns. The key stat is Kang’s 2.36 takedown rate per 15 minutes putting him at just under 1 takedown landed every 15 minutes. Kang has fought a relatively low competition level besides Ramos and has been able to submit most of them, but 5 of Kang’s 8 losses have come by decision. When he is unable to get that takedown he is unable to finish and tends to lose.

Davis has fast heavy kicks and sharp boxing skills. He is a very well rounded striker and he throws heat in every single strike. He is strong in the clinch and makes good use of combinations and volume striking. He counters well and is durable where Kang has a good chin and recovers well, but he is very hittable. Davis is physically strong for the division and he appears to be taking this fight VERY seriously as per his Instagram he appears to be in the shape of his life. I see Mr. Perfect attempting to follow his usual game plan and pressuring Davis looking for the takedown. Davis will surprise everybody with his takedown defense and physical strength to be able to keep the fight standing where he will pick Mr. Perfect apart. If Kang lands a takedown, I do not expect him to be able to keep Davis there and while Kang’s best offense is his submission attacks I believe Davis will be competent enough to defend and stay safe. Davis trains out of Alan Belcher MMA and Belcher is a high-level black belt who will have him prepped and ready for this challenge. I think Kang is in for a long night on the feet with Davis and I think there is massive value on Davis as a decent sized underdog here.

Free UFC Pick: Brandon Davis + 157