Fight expert, Adreas Hale breaksdown the betting odds on upcoming Ward-Kovalev and where value might be found when betting UFC Singapore.
When it comes to prop bets, one should take a close look at what’s available for the rematch between Andre Ward and Sergey Kovalev. It was a razor thin fight the first time around with Ward scoring a hotly contested decision victory. Since then, Kovalev has suggested that he overtrained for the first fight and promises to make Ward pay in the rematch. Meanwhile, Ward says the tension between the two fighters is thick and he’ll look to prove that he’s the rightful #1 pound for pound fighter in the world on June 17th.
There is not a lot of value when it comes to betting the fight straight up as Ward is the favorite at -160 while Kovalev is a slight underdog at +135. But the prop bets floating around are surely enticing.
If you are one of many who thought Kovalev won the first time, surely you may lean towards the Russian in the rematch. And if you believe what he says when he admits his conditioning was lacking, you may want to take a look at. Kovalev started off quickly in the first fight and dropped Ward in the second round. However, as the rounds went on, Ward slowly figured out Kovalev and pulled himself back into the fight. He’s a defensive dynamo but few have seen Ward get hit as much as he did in the first third of the fight.
If you believe that Kovalev can find similar success in the rematch, a shot at Kovalev winning inside of the distance is certainly worth your time. Over at 5Dimes, Kovalev winning by KO/TKO/DQ is at +485. Considering that 26 of Kovalev’s 30 wins were by knockout, it’s not that outside of the realm of reality to see Kovalev scoring a finish against the unbeaten Ward. Again, this is if you believe that Kovalev was robbed and my have been comprised by his conditioning. After all, he was the first to ever put Ward down in a fight.
Ward is not a knockout artist but he has finished a few opponents. He’s a +1213 to score a knockout but it’s pretty unlikely considering that he’s a defensive fighter first and Kovalev is a competent boxer who possesses the power to keep Ward from teeing off.
Perhaps the most interesting line is the one for the fight ending in a draw. It’s not entirely unlikely that the fight could be extremely close on the scorecards. And at +1600, it’s actually a better bet than a Ward knockout.Value Boxing Lean: Draw (+1600)Best Line Offered: 5DimesUFC Singapore
Although this weekend’s UFC Singapore card doesn’t feature a lot big names and doesn’t necessarily lend itself to a bettors dream, there are a couple of prop bets that hold a bit of intrigue that you can cash out on.
One fight that should jump off the page is Rafael Dos Anjos’ welterweight debut against former Strikeforce welterweight champion Tarec Saffiedine. Dos Anjos enters the fight as a pretty significant favorite at around -265 with Saffiedine being a +225 underdog. Both fighters are coming in riding two-fight losing streaks and are in need of a victory. Although neither fighter has proven to have a glass jaw, they are both heavy handed and are likely looking to make a statement. With the under on the fight of 2.5 rounds at +235, it’s certainly worth a look. Saffiedine hasn’t scored a finish in nearly seven years but Dos Anjos has proven to be proficient in the finishing department.
Walt Harris fights don’t go the distance. He’s facing Cyril Asker, who is also allergic to allowing a fight to get to the judges. It’s highly likely that this fight ends inside of the distance. However, the fight going over 1.5 rounds is at +125. There is a decent chance that these two go longer than seven and a half minutes. The fight can still end before it gets to the scorecards, but it could certainly get past the halfway point.Value UFC Lean: OVER 1.5 Rounds (+125)Best Line Offered: 5Dimes